On Live trial this week : Aintree Festival Special
Service type: Horse Racing Tipsters
Trial type - 3 day special
Week Starting - 6th April 2016
Cost : Free
Service Offers :
Trial Info : Over the course of the Aintree Grand national festival we will have free tips from 3 horse racing tipsters including, Big Race Bookie Busters, Bet Alcemist and Racing Consultants. The free horse racing tips will be posted online and sent via email as and when they are sent to there members. We will also have free Grand National tips from all three of them.
Monday - Day 1
Tuesday - Day 2
Wednesday - Day 3
Thursday - Day 4
Friday - Day 5
Aintree – 13:40
1/2 Point Each Way
9/1 Betvictor, Bet365, Betway & Skybet - Placed
Starchitect arrives here off the back of two excellent efforts in defeat. In the Betfair hurdle he finished 2nd despite a bad mistake over the last flight. In the County Hurdle at Cheltenham he ran a puzzling race as he travelled really well until losing his position down the hill and then finishing strongly to grab 5th place. This step up in trip should help his jumping allowing Tom Scudamore more time to organize him coming to the hurdles. The way he finished at Cheltenham we can expect him to see out this new trip and he’s a good each way price.
Aintree – 14:15
1/2 Point Each Way
Bleu Et Rouge
14/1 Betvictor, Bet365, Skybet & Betbrigth - Lost
Limini is all the rage in receipt of 7lbs from the geldings but while impressive winning at Cheltenham against her own sex this Grade 1 against the boys is a much tougher race. Buveur D’air was the first horse I looked at here as he powered home when settled out the back at Cheltenham and will relish this softer ground. However, he has been well spotted by the market so at a much bigger price it is worth backing Bleu Et Rouge.
I think I am correct in saying he is the only Grade 1 winner in the field having won the Deloitte Novice Hurdle at Leopardstown from Tombstone. Tombstone franked that form when finishing 4th in the supreme hurdle 4 lengths behind Buveur D’Air just ahead in third. Bleu Et Rouge fell at Cheltenham in the 3m Albert Bartlett but never settled throughout that race pulling the arms out of Barry Geraghty. He will be more at home bowling along over this trip and soft ground is a big plus as he will not be caught for stamina. Hopefully, this race will be run at a really good lick with Agrapart sure to race freely. There is not much between many of these and at a big price we side with the Willie Mullins trained Bleu Et Rouge.
Aintree – 14:50
1 Point Win
Un Temp Pour Tout - Lost
2/1 generally, use best odds guaranteed
Un Temp Pour Tout was a good winner for us when onside at Cheltenham beating Holywell with the pair well clear of the rest. He travelled and jumped super at Cheltenham and those attributes are exactly what’s required tomorrow. The soft ground is in his favour and we have no stamina concerns. Holywell backed up winning the Ultima Handicap at Cheltenham before coming to win this race in 2014 and I expect Un Temp Pour Tout to match that feat. He was a top class staying hurdler rated 163 and has plenty of scope for improvement over fences even if top rated here at 159.
Aintree – 16:05
1/2 Point Each Way
Rathlin - Lost
16/1 generally, use bookie paying out 5 places
We backed Rathlin over course and distance last December when well beaten behind Benny’s Mist. The ground was very soft that day along with connections working on his handicap mark! That work has paid off and Rathlin has dropped from 143 in December to 133 off which he won at Ayr recently. He’s gone back up to 138 but that still leaves him a massive 9lbs lower than the 147 he raced off when 3rd in this race last year. Davy Russell is a very good booking and Rathlin is normally an excellent jumper. The ground has gone soft but more yielding and he should cope with it as he arrives here in top form, well handicapped and laid out for the race.
Aintree – 16:05
1/2 Point Each Way
Eastlake - Won
18/1 Betfred, Coral & Totesport else 16/1 generally, use bookie paying out 5 places
Eastlake has a very similar profile to Rathlin in that he is well handicapped and finished 3rd in this same race back in 2014 off 146. He ran a nice race off a long break when 9th beaten 11l in the Grand Annual at Cheltenham. His rating is down to 142 from as high as 148 and he wears a tongue tie and cheekpieces. His Weight of 10-11 is ideal and his record around Aintree is a win and a place from 3 starts. He is overpriced and good value with most bookies paying out 5 places.
Aintree – 16:40
1/2 Point Each Way
Ballyoptic - Won
10/1 Bet365 & Skybet 1/4 Odds else 10/1 PaddyPower 1/5 odds the place
I want to side with a novice that didn’t run in the Albert Bartlett at the Cheltenham Festival. That is always a gruelling race and the race this year more than ever. Nigel Twiston-Davies horses are running well and Ballyoptic will relish this step up in trip. His full brother Chicago Outfit need 3 miles and Ballyoptic looks certain to appreciate the step up in trip at this grade. He arrives here off the back of two easy wins and is a “very exciting horse” according to his trainer. He can run well and a good each way price.
Saturday - Day 6
5.15 Aintree –
1.5pts e/w Many Clouds (10-1 Bet365, Stan James, both five places)
1pt e/w Saint Are (18-1 Bet365, Coral, Stan James, all 5 places)
0.5pts e/w Home Farm (100-1 general, use a bookmaker paying 5 places)
0.5pts e/w Shutthefrontdoor (20-1 Bet365, Stan James)
0.5pts e/w Kruhzlinin (33-1 general, make sure you get 5 places)
4.20 Aintree – 1pt win Band Of Blood (general 14-1, use Bet365 if possible as it will give you a point back on the National as it’s a C4 race if it’s a winner)
4.20 BETFRED HANDICAP CHASE (3M210Y)
Band of Blood was a selection here when third in the Grimthorpe behind The Last Samuri, and while he has been well held at Cheltenham since, that run is nowhere near as poor as it first appeared, and he wasn’t knocked about having forfeited ground on the outside of the field throughout. He remains the type to do much better for his current yard, and this looks a good opportunity for him to bounce back, with this contest not as competitive as the numbers suggest.
Mystifiable was impressive at Newbury last time, and has only had a handful of races over fences, but I think a rise in the weights of a stone looks harsh enough, particularly as he’s not sure to be suited by this tighter track (all his wins prior to Newbury were right handed), and he looks a poor favourite. Coologue jumps and travels well, but is a weak finisher, while Warden Hill is making a very belated seasonal debut. Knock House can be fancied after a good run in the Kim Muir, and merits respect, but I’m happy to stick with Dr Newland’s runner despite him being out of the handicap proper.
5.15 CRABBIE’S GRAND NATIONAL (4M2F74Y)
I’ve given a full run-down of all the runners elsewhere, but this revolves primarily around one horse for me, with Many Clouds looking better than ever this season, and certain to put up a bold show in his defence of his crown having only a solitary pound more on his back. He has matured into the perfect specimen of a staying steeplechaser, and could not have been more impressive in winning his prep race at Kelso, and has been geared solely towards this race rather than have a crack at the Gold Cup, in which he would have had a solid place chance at least. It’s historically been difficult for National winners to follow up, with the big race often leaving its mark, and the handicapper taking up the slack from there, but neither of those factors have slowed Oliver Sherwood’s chaser this term, and he deserves to take his place in the record books.
Of the others, Morning Assembly, a contemporary of the selection as a novice chaser when he was third in the RSA, must be considered from what looks a very fair handicap mark, and he should improve on a fine fourth in the Ultima Handicap at the Cheltenham Festival. He was behind O’Faolain’s boy in that RSA in 2014, and Rebecca Curtis’s charge is another to consider having shaped well for a long way in the Gold Cup, with last year’s runner-up Saint Are also shortlisted having crept in at the foot of the weights.
Big Race Bookie Busters
I'm backing in the Grand National is Shutthefrontdoor. He's 1lb lower than when fifth last year, when connections thought a cut stopped him finishing closer,
and he also goes well for Barry Geraghty who won the Iris National on him.
Shutthefrontdoor 1 point each-way 16/1 (various bookies) 1/4 odds 5 places.
We already have 2 selections onside in The Druids Nephew & Gallant Oscar and all looks good regarding their respective chances and we are ahead of the market. Bet365 have an excellent money back offer running for the Grand National whereby they will “give you half the stake back for every Each-Way bet that you place, up to a maximum total refund of €125 per customer.” That offer should be availed of if at all possible.
His recent form is very good as he finished 2nd in the Leinster National at Naas and a good way ahead of Gallant Oscar in 5th. The ground will ride soft tomorrow especially around the National course and that is a big plus regarding the chances of Goonyella. He won the Midlands National on soft ground over 4m1½f last season before going on to finish second in the Scottish Grand National (4m) finishing strongly on ground that was officially good and much too lively for him. The key to winning the National is sound jumping and stamina and Goonyella has stamina in spades!
Last season he was only and 8 year old so we can reasonably expect further improvement a year later and he has been trained all season with the National in mind. Johnny Burke rides as retained jockey for Alan Potts and mentioned last December that he had taken time out to improve his riding over the National fences. Johnny is young but a very talented jockey. He took a soft fall from Goonyella in the 2014 Becher Chase but looked a much more accomplished rider in the same race last December given Goonyella a good look at the National fences and getting around safely. I am every faith that Johnny can do the job now that he has matured and there is no need to say anything about trainer Jim Dreaper and his family’s record in the Grand National.
Sunday - Day 7