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Bookies Enemy No.1 7 day live trial : Horse Racing Tipster

 

 

 

 

On Live trial this week : Bookies Enemy No.1

Service type: Horse Racing Tipster

Trial type - 7 day live trial

Week Starting - 29th August 2016

Website: www.tipstrr.com/tipster/bookiesenemy1

Cost : £37 per month

Service Offers : £1 for first 30 days No Recurring payments >> www.tipstrr.com/bookiesenemyoffer

Trial Info : 7 day live trial from Horse Racing Tipster "Bookies Enemy No.1" The selections will be posted online and sent out via email the evening before racing around 7pm. The tips from Bookies Enemy No.1 will consist of win and each way singles as well as small multiples. This services uses its own staking plan which will be advised along side each selection.

Monday - Day 1

 

3 selections for tomorrow plus 3 Archie Watson trained runners (see below)

Archie Watson runners.

2.45 Ripon:Ride The Lightning 14/1 generally (0.3pts win) - Lost
3.20 Ripon:Chevallier 16/1 generally (0.3pts win) - Lost
4.30 Ripon:Ebony N Ivory 3/1 generally (0.3pts win) - LOst

0.1pt e/w Trixie on the 3 horses above with best priced BV

4.30 Ripon:Bossipop 10/1 BF 8/1 B365 (1pts win) - Lost
4.00 Newcastle:Devious Spirit 9/1 B365/BV (1pts win) - Lost
3.15 Epsom:Hey Chewed 12/1 PP/BF (1pts win) - Lost
0.3pts e/w Trixie on 3 horses above with best priced BF - Lost

7pts total stake

Analysis

Archie Watson new trainer.

Archie Watson was assistant trainer to Willie Haggas and is having his first 3 runners today as rookie trainer and will no doubt be wanting to impress.These are speculative bets and small stakes are advised but all three horses look to have live chances on the form book and with Watson having so much experience in training from top trainers here such as Haggas and also in the US he will no doubt have gained plenty of wisdom and may well be a trainer to follow.

4.30 Ripon:Bossipop

A horse we backed last time but after blowing the start he had little chance at Chester but he was doing his best to stay on before being hampered and deserves another chance.He goes best at Ripon and has some strong form to his name in better races and with the ground likely to be on the soft side he has plenty in his favour coming from an ideal draw in stall 8.

4.00 Newcastle:Devious Spirit

Only raced once so far this year and although well beat I don't think he was disgraced and should come on for the run.That was in a much better race than tomorrow's poor looking claimer and he looks quite well in at the terms and although it will be his first run on an artificial surface there's plenty in his breeding to suggest it will suit.Richard Fahey's record at this track so far leaves a lot to be desired but he struck here with a winner last week under this same claimer and is a trainer on fire at the moment.

3.15 Epsom:Hey Chewed

A few well handicapped horses in this race returning to form last time including El Astronaute and Humidor who should both go well but another at a bigger price is Hey Chewed.He did best of the horses running on the "wrong side" last time at York being drawn in stall 20 when it favours to be drawn in low numbers. That was over 5.5f but this this easy 5f should be ideal off a 3lb lower mark.

Tuesday - Day 2

2 selections for tomorrow

Single bets

3.10 Epsom:Arctic Feeling 20/1 PP/B365 (1pts e/w) - Lost

6.45 Ripon:Pipers Note 6/1 generally (1pts win) - Won +6.5 BOG

Multiple bets

Arctic Feeling/Pipers Note (.3pts e/w double with best priced B365/PP)

3.6pts total stake

Analysis

3.10 Epsom:Arctic Feeling

Won this 2 years ago and although that was on his preferred soft ground he's got plenty of form on quicker surfaces including last time at York where he ran well from a wide draw and then 2 runs before that again at York over a sharp 5f.Tomorrow's race looks much easier than both of those and with a 7lb claimer on he looks a silly price at around 20/1.

6.45 Ripon:Pipers Note

Well handicapped and has been running well in much better races like at Doncaster 2 starts back in a conditions even behind horses rated 113 (Strath Burn) 105 (Out Do) and 108 (naadirr) and then followed that up running here in the ultra competitive Great St Wilfred handicap finishing 4th in a race run in a very quick time.He gets to race off the same mark tomorrow dropping in grade with the only downside being his slightly wide draw in stall 4 but the form of those last two runs is enough to compensate that and if his jockey can get him a handy posi then he must run well in this grade.


Best of Luck.

Wednesday - Day 3

3 selections for tomorrow

Single bets
6.50 Carlisle:Sunnua 10/1 generally (10pts win) - NR

7.50 Carlisle:First Sargeant 15/2 generally (1pts win) - Lost

4.45 Carlisle:Tinsill 20/1 B365/Betfred (1pts e/w) - Placed +4

Multiple bets
Sunnua/First Sargeant/Tinsill (0.3pts e/w Trixie with best priced B365) - Placed + 10.61

6.4pts total stake

Analysis

6.50 Carlisle:Sunnua

Has been running well this year in mainly better races than this and can be forgiven her latest run at Chester when finishing 5th where the pace was steady in the early part which meant her racing keenly and struggled to pick up the leaders late on.But she made a good fist of it and shaped as thoughtomorrow's slight drop in trip with a stiff finish will suit and with In form trainer/jockey combo Fahey/McNamara she looks decent value to carry on improving.

7.50 Carlisle:First Sargeant

Another notable Adam McNamara booking and this horse is currently well handicapped racing off 11lb below his last winning mark.He needs to be forgiven his last run in a better race trying the visor for the first time on ground too quick as before that he was running well in this grade going close a couple of times off higher marks.He has plenty in his favour tomorrow and won't mind any rain plus the 5lb taken off by McNamara will be a big help.

4.45 Carlisle:Tinsill

Has gone close a few times this year finishing 2nd four times and has been unlucky not to finish closer on a few other occasions including his latest run at Hamilton where he was 3lb wrong at the weights in a slightly better grade than this as he got hampered at a vital time when trying to challenge and had he got a trouble free run he may have finished in the places at least.He's drawn a bit wide tomorrow which is a negative but there looks to be plenty of pace on which will suit and he won't mind any of the rain that's forecast and with the in form claimer Sophie Cilloran booked he looks a nice e/w bet off his featherweight especially if the rain arrives.

Best of Luck.

Thursday - Day 4

selections for tomorrow

Single bets
7.40 Chelmsford:Craftsmanship 15/2 BF 7/1 generally (1pts win) - Lost
4.30 Haydock:Felix Mendelssohn 20/1 BF 16/1 generally (1pts e/w) - Placed +4
4.00 Haydock:Muwaary 2/1 B365/BF (1pts win) - Lost

Multiple bets
Craftsmanship/Felix Mendelssohn/Muwaary (0.3pts e/w Trixie with best priced BF) - Placed +20.1

6.4pts total stake

Analysis

7.40 Chelmsford:Craftsmanship

A few of these runners have a shout but Craftsmanship is on a handy mark and could be the main beneficiary from what looks likely to be a strong pace with several possible front runners.He's run here 4 times winning once by nearly 4 lengths although has yet to try the 10f trip but judging by his last race when a staying on and unlucky 3rd in a better race over 9f at Goodwood I think he could have a lot more to offer at this track over this kind of trip.He gets a very handy 7lb claim off the in form apprentice Cameron Noble and if he gets the pace and luck in running then he should go well and hopefully be picking up the leaders in the home straight.

4.30 Haydock:Felix Mendelssohn

Very much caught my eye at Ascot last time given a typical (over-patient) ride by Jamie Spencer and although he had no chance of winning he was putting in a lot of good work at the end.That was just his second start this year so should be fresher than most of these and as long as he's had no training issues with this just his third start and first since that run in June then I see no reason why he can't be competitive tomorrow from a much better draw than at Ascot and for a trainer who does very well with this type of horse.

4.00 Haydock:Muwaary

Poor last time but that's very easy to forgive given the atrocious conditions and I fancy him to get back on track tomorrow.Although tomorrow's race is a good listed event it's some way below the quality he's raced against in group races both here and in Longchamp.He has plenty in his favour tomorrow as he escapes a penalty for not winning any race since August 2015 unlike a number of his lower rated rivals and if he's race fit which I fully expect him to be being trained by John Gosden then he should really win this comfortably.

Friday - Day 5

2 selections for tomorrow


Single bets
5.00 Haydock:He's No Saint 12/1 Hills/B365 (1pts win) - Lost

4.20 Ascot:Balmoral Castle 14/1 generally (1pts win) - Lost

Multiple bets
He's No Saint/Balmoral Castle (0.3pts e/w double with best priced - Lost

2.6pts total stake

Analysis

5.00 Haydock:He's No Saint

Most can be given a shout in this race but I'm interested in the two David O'Meara trained horses Alejandro and He's No Saint.The former is very well handicapped and in great form and is likely to either win or run well again but he's had loads of chances since his last win which was way back in July 2014.He's No Saint is also very well handicapped at present and has only raced four times this season and the best of those was at this track on his second start over a mile off a 7lb higher mark.He then flopped on ground too soft at Thirsk but I thought his latest run was encouraging trying to make all over a mile and a half a furlong which looks to be beyond him,but he was still in with a shout inside the final furlong before tiring.He drops back to 7ftomorrow which I think will be ideal and what's very significant and made me sway for HNS is the jockey bookings as Danny Tudhope has taken this ride instead of Alejandro who has the much less experienced Keagan Latham on board and will be riding Alejandro for the first time.The pace angle is difficult to asses as both these horses like to bowl along in front so it will be interesting to see who gets to the front but they both have form held up or just behind the leaders so it's not that they are both dependant on leading but HNS breaks well and if he does get on the lead then he could be hard to pass.

4.20 Ascot:Balmoral Castle

Spark Plug who ran a cracker for us last time runs in this race and is definitely worth a saver but at a much bigger price is Balmoral Castle who is only having his third start this year and was put up a whopping 10lb for his emphatic victory here on his seasonal reappearance back in April and has only raced once since which was at Goodwood last month and considering he was drawn out in the car park I thought he did really well to finish 8th proving his new mark might not be beyond him.That race was arguably better than tomorrow's (though there a few unexposed 3yo's in this race) so he should fare well back over the same C&D of that facile victory here back in April.

Best of Luck.

 

Saturday - Day 8

Just like I've done in the past I've found a couple of value bets in two separate races so the advice is to perm them all up in cross doubles.

4 selections for tomorrow

Single bets

4.10 Ascot

Spring Loaded 16/1 Boyles (0.5pts e/w) - Lost

Royal Birth 20/1 Boyles (5pts e/w) - Placed +2

4.45 Ascot

Lil Sophella 8/1 generally (0.5pts e/w) - Lost

Aljuljalah 10/1 Lads/Skybet (0.5pts e/w) - Lost
Multiple bets
Spring Loaded/Royal Birth/Lil Sophella/Aljuljalah (4 x 3pts e/w doubles with best priced B365)
6.4pts total stake

4.10 Ascot:Spring Loaded/Royal Birth

Hasn't had the rub of the green in 3 of his 4 runs on turf this year and was given a poor ride last time at Doncaster as I thought Shane Kelly over-did the waiting tactics and only got serious when the race was virtually over.But he stayed on well and racing off a 2lb lower mark than that race and a handy 5lb lower mark than the first of those runs in The Wokingham over this C&D he looks nailed on for a big run back on his preferred ground.
Royal Birth ran well here over 5f behind a couple of progressive horses staying on well (just in front of Shamshon who he re-opposes here and is 3 times his price) and can be forgiven a slightly below par effort last time at York being drawn wider than ideal and away from the main action.He was staying on well enough before being hampered to suggest a try over 6f will suit and with there not looking to be a great deal of pace on in this field I think it should be within his range.

4.45 Ascot:Lil Sophella/Aljuljalah

Ran well against some smart looking 3yo's last time including our winner Opal tiara who has since won again.There doesn't look to be anything of that calibre amongst the 3yo's on this field (except maybe our other selection and the Stoute trained horse) and the step back up in trip should suit.It's her first run at Ascot but that's the same story with a number of runners in this field and at around 8/1 she looks worth risking.
Aljuljalah looks the best value of the four 3yo's in the field and has been running well in some good 3yo races including last time at Newmarket over 7f.She never had the pace of the first few home but this step back up to a mile should suit as her pedigree suggests.

Best of Luck.

Sunday - Day 7

No Tips today

 

SUMMARY

Total number of horse racing tips: 20

Total Points Profit : 27.81

Total Profit £10 per point : £278.1

Total profit to £50 per point : £1390

Return on investment : 85.83%

 

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Comments

very happy with the free trial period, so close to a huge payout with a few hard luck stories which on another day could of hit the bookies hard. great in depth analysis from gary with a great knowledge of horse racing, plenty to like about the service and more than happy to subscribe and look forward to a profitable future!

thanks
benjamin | 05-Sep-2016 09:35 PM

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