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Carl Nicholson's Racing Diary 7 day live trial : Horse Racing Tipster




On Live trial this week : Carl Nicholson's Racing diary

Service type: Horse Racing Tipster

Trial type - 7 day live trial

Week Starting - 21st March 2016

Website: www.valuebacking.co.uk/diary

Cost : £24.95 p/m

Trial Info : 7 day live trial from horse racing tipster Carl Nicholson. This trial will be focusing on "the racing diary" where selections are advised each day as win only bets. All tips are given as one point wins and will be sent out around 10am each morning of the days racing.

Monday - Day 1

I think there are a couple of interesting ones at Southwell. Firstly in the opening 2.20 Allow Dallow down back on decent ground is very interesting, but the price has gone so it will be a watching brief form me. But he looks the one to beat. In the 4.20 Diego Suarez ran really well last time out off the back of a lay off and if building on that looks the value against a short priced favourite who looks very beatable back on a sounder surface.

Summary Diego Suarez @ 7’1 William Hill - Lost

Tuesday - Day 2

Carl Nicholson has sent his tip for tomorrow out to members earlier than usual and his email is below. No Joy from his only tip today. Racing DiaryApologies for the very early message for Tuesday, but I am otherwise engaged tomorrow. Nothing much to say about Mondays selection who ran poorly, but the odds on favourite did get beat , just !

I have one notebook horse running in the 3.05 Exeter Quieto Sol, who i noted down for handicaps after the run at Doncaster in December. He was far from knocked around that day and is a low enough race today to suggest he should be competitive.


Quieto Sol @ 13/2 Bet365 - 1 point win - Won + 6.5 points

Wednesday - Day 3

Quieto Sol did the job nicely enough for us yesterday with a comfortable success. I don't think I would want to be with him next time however, the antics after the last seemed a bit troublesome to my eye. Absolute was probably unlucky not to win the 4.20 at Wetherby. He was coming with a strong looking run when making a mess of the final flight and was then allowed to coast home. He is one for the notebook.

I have one selection at Southwell today in the 3.05 Birrafun, who looks well handicapped to me off 53 considering she got within 6 lengths of two horses rated 70 last time out. Obviously she has to cope with the surface but Zebedee's off spring have done ok so far on it.


Birrafun @ 9'2 General Price - Won +8 points (bog)
Thursday - Day 4


On to today and I was interested in seeing the price of Flinty Fell in the 5.40 at Wolverhampton this morning. She caught the eye in no uncertain terms on debut and I was hoping for a decent price in what looks a fair and open maiden. There was a bit of 5'1 about first thing last night , but that has soon gone and she is now around 3'1 which is very tight indeed and while she could well win, at the price I am a watcher rather than a player. I also so see that the JP runner Set In My Ways is down to run in the 3.15 Chepstow. My JP contact did say he is one to look out for when stepping up to around 3 miles ( which he does today ) but they have found a very weak race and the price is pretty short enough at around 2'1, so I will just watch rather than play. So there are no bets today, but a couple of interesting ones to watch. Just a foot note to add , I will be giving out my two Grand National selections next Tuesday after the Bank Holiday so look out for those.


No Bets today The racing diary

Friday - Day 5


I am not a great fan of these so called all weather championships at Lingfield as they just look a bit substandard compared to the turf racing. The only horse of any great potential on the card looks to be Cape Speed in the closing 4.45 who could be anything as the saying goes and will stay this mile trip very strongly, he looks the one to follow for today.


Cape Speed @ 5'1 Betfair Sportsbook - Lost
The racing diary

Saturday - Day 6

Unfortunately our selection suffered some sort of issue mid race and was more or less pulled up, lets hope it is not very serious and he can get back on the track at some point during the flat season.

On to todays racing and I think the most interesting aspect of the cards today is that the champion jockey elect Richard Johnson has gone to Newton Abbot instead of any of the CH4 televised meetings. The most interesting of his rides looks to be Belize in the 3.50. This one had shown a fair bit in flat races and novice/maiden hurdling last season. But to the naked eye things have to gone to plan this season, but I suspect they have been running him over too short a trip ( steps up in trip today ) and he was off a stiff mark ( some 9lbs lower today ) he won't mind any rain either. So he looks to have interesting prospects today.


Belize @ 5'1 general price - Won +5 points
The racing diary

Sunday - Day 7

Well, Belize certainly did improve somewhat over a new trip, scooting up by 20 plus lengths with a ton in hand. The most funny aspect came after the race when connections were keen to play down the ease of the success by saying - I think the race, which was not the best by far in the first place, has fallen apart for Belize as I could not believe I got to the front so easily. It´s a case of my horse handling the ever-softening conditions better than the others. Hmm - I don't think the handicapper will be fooled !

On to today and I see Absolute the horse I mentioned last week as being a bit unlucky after a final flight blunder cost him the race is down to run in the 4.10 at Sedgefield. This looks a marked step up in class from that race and he has a 7lb claimer booked to ride ( who has a very good record at the course from just a few rides ) but the race looks a potential mine field of improvers and the jockey who rode Absolute last time out switches to another from the same stable. So there are just too many questions and guesses for me to put him up as a confident selection today. One that does catch my eye however is Muthraab Aldaar in the 3.50 at Wolverhampton. I had noted this one down as one to watch out for over middle distances this flat season, so I was a bit surprised to see him entered up for an all weather race today. He steps up in trip today and has run two eye catching runs at York and Haydock ( both races looked decent maidens ) and this race looks a lot weaker than those.
But the biggest surprise is the price of 12'1 which just looks plain crazy and while it may be a case of one more run for a handicap mark, he should be getting involved today if he is to progress this season.


Muthraab Aldaar @ 12'1 Bet365 - Won +12 points



Total number of horse racing tips : 6 

Total number of winners : 4 (12/1, 8/1, 13/2, 5/1)

Overall form : U11U11

Total Points Profit : 29.5

Total Profit £10 per point :£290.50

Total Profit £50 per points : £1475

Return on investment : 484%

Summary : There is not much to say about this trial week that the figures don't express already. It was simply excellent tipping from start to finish with little risk in the selections but huge gain. It was not just the results that I was impressed with as each write up that came with each selections was clear and concise showing off Carl Nicholson's knowledge of hose racing. These are the best results that we have seen from any service on the live trials to date (21/03/2016) and it is certainly going to take some beating. 






Great trial i signed up all i get is an e-mail everyday for the past week saying no tips today opened up a support ticket nothing no explanation Hate being taken for a mug i'll give these trials a miss in future
Steve morris | 21-Apr-2016 11:41 AM
I suspect Steve Morris (above / below, wherever he ends up when my post goes up) signed up for the Value Backing service that Carl also offers, which tends to concentrate on the bigger races and can have a few blank days midweek. Having just checked my records, there was only one blank day between the 16th and 21st inclusive for the Racing Diary service, whilst the Value Backing service's only selection was on the 16th.
I reckon the Racing Diary is a better service than Value Backing, personally, and I'm nicely up this year (I've changed my general betting stakes, so difficult to be certain, but I'm £467 up, probably about 35 points, and I'm restricted at most bookies, so don't get full value necessarily).
If you want a guy who knows what he's talking about, posts his selections the evening before generally, and will likely make you a fair bit of money; go for it.
Paul | 31-Aug-2016 08:51 PM

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