LA BAGUE AU ROI 11/10 Ladbrokes - 3 POINT WIN - Won +2.49
This horse should be 4/7, the evens available is an absolute steal. She has one danger in this race and that is Dusky Legend who
I don't think will get 3 miles on heavy ground, in a million years. Bar a fall LA BAGUE AU ROI wins. She already beat Dusky
Legend last season and our selection has improved considerably since then. She was stepped up in trip last time out and stayed
every yard of the 3 miles. She beat a very good horse in Jer's Girl and something would surely have to go a miss for this one
to get beat. WIN.
LE BREUIL 7/1 generally - 0.5 POINTS E/W - Non Runner
I am a big fan of this horse and I have no doubt he is a better horse than his current mark of 139. LE BREUIL is Ben Pauling favourite
horse and he has always held him in high regard. He has had 2 starts this season and although he has not won, he has run well
both times. I have heard the trainer mention many times that he is not an easy horse to get fit and that is why he is being
slowly brought along throughout the season. His last run was 6 weeks ago when 2nd to Black Ivory. That horse went and won a
Pertemps Hurdle Qualifier last week so the form has since been boosted. I imagine LE BREUIL will arrive here in very good form
and they will have him very fit after slowly bring him along. E/W.
CLYNE 4/1 generally - 1 POINT WIN - Lost
CLYNE is decent value at 4/1 on this very deep ground. He will absolutely love it. He was 2nd to The New One at Ffos Las on his
first start of the season and was only beaten 1/4 of a length. They were both sent off 2/1 joint favourites that day and The
New One had Zoe Baker claiming 5lb, so the weight difference was only 3lb. Today neither horse has a claim so that puts CLYNE
3lb better off at the weights. Chunk Champion jockey Richard Johnson into the mix, as he is riding our selection, and what
a bet we have at 4/1. The deeper the the ground the better. When others are hating the ground this horse will have his ears
pricked, knee deep in mud.
TENOR NIVERNAIS 10/1 generally - 0.5 POINTS E/W - None Runner
I am going to take a chance on course specialist TENOR NIVERNAIS here who is absolutely huge at 12/1. The negative being that this
is his first start of the season but at the same time he will love conditions and absolutely loves Ascot. It was this time
last year that he destroyed a quality field by 30 lengths at Ascot, with a fabulous front running performance. He beat top
horses like Go Conquer and Sausalito Sunrise without breaking sweat. The key to this horse is getting him in a rhythm and jockey
Aidan Coleman has a great partnership with this horse. We know he is going to front run and if he gets it together over the
first 5 fences it will take a good one to catch him. E/W.
YALA ENKI 8/1 generally - 0.5 POINTS E/W - Lost
HIGHLAND LODGE 20/1 Bet 365 - 0.5 POINTS E/W - Lost
We have 2 selections in this race.
All about the ground here what horses will love it and what horses won't. Two horses at big prices and I know for certain will
love the conditions are YALA ENKI and HIGHLAND LODGE.
YALA ENKI wants the ground as deep as you can get it and he showed how good he can be on the ground when winning in Heavy ground
at Kelso last March. He has had 3 starts this season and although he has underperformed, he hasn't quite had the testing ground
he requires. YALA ENKI has come down the handicap to 147 which is only 1lb higher than his winning mark at Kelso. Sure to go
HIGHLAND LODGE has been around for what seems like forever. What a servant this horse has been to the sport. He has had 1 start
this season when finishing 3rd to Blacklion in the Becher Chase. Again the softer the ground the better. He is rated 138 by
the handicapper which is about right but with this tip it is not about the handicap mark. It is about handling the conditions
and his jumping. Expect him to be prominent and when others have had enough he will keep plugging on. E/W.