Racing Consultants 7 day live trial : Horse racing tipsters

Tipsters Review - 22-Aug-2017

On Live trial this week:

Racing Consultants

Service type: Horse Racing Tipster
Trial type: 7 day live trial
Week Starting: 14th August 2017
Website: https://www.racingconsultants.co.uk/
Cost: £39.99 P/M
Service Offers: N/A

Trial Info:

After a couple of weeks trialling other sports, we are back to horse racing this week. Under the microscope for the next 7 days we have Racing Consultants from the Betting School platform. Their racing tips will be posted online and sent out via email each morning of the days racing around 11am. All of their tips will come with an advised stake and win each way selections. 

 

 

 

 

Monday - Day 1

No Tips today

Tuesday - Day 2

 

 

7.10 Chlm – 1pt e/w Pactolus @ 40/1 (BetVictor, Paddy Power, Coral, Stan James) - Lost

7.40 Chlm – 1pt win Encore D’Or @ 11/2 (general) - Lost

Total staked 3pts

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Awful racing on turf today,but two cracking contests on the polytrack at Chelmsford this evening, and I’m weighing in with a couple owned by my William Hill Racing Radio colleague Tom Morley. Pactolus is weighted to his best, but has a solid place record at Chelmsford, and is massively overpriced on the back of a below-par effort last time. On that occasion, he was drawn wide and was held up/cut in to the rail as a result, a tactic which is tried a thousand times a season and works about once, whereupon the ride gets described as genius. Suffice it to say that I disagree quite strongly. Tactics didn’t lose Pactolus the race last time, but they cost him a fair few lengths, and he had an almost impossible task being asked to quicken from the rear in a slowly-run race. From a good draw in stall 5 today, he ca be expected to be ridden more positively, and a well run race will give him every chance of hitting the frame, as evidenced by a previous course record in handicaps of 1514221514234.

Encore D’Or is a really high-class sprinter who needs a galloping track and a strong pace to be seen to advantage, and usually gets that here, producing a course record of 311, and he’s unbeaten over C&D for current connections, despite the trainer believing he’d badly need the run on his debut in the Morley silks last November (drifted from 5/1 to 33/1 on Betfair!). He’s got issues on other tracks/surfaces (Lingfield too sharp, hated fibresand at Southwell etc), but has run to a very high level every time he’s raced here and should be hard to beat tonight.


 

 

Wednesday - Day 3

 

3.20 Sals – 1pt e/w Glory of Paris @ 33/1 (Bet365, BetVictor, Paddy Power) - Lost

4.50 Sals – 1pt win Moonshine Dancer @ 14/1 (general) - Lost

Total staked 3pts


Apologies for lateness of message today.

Two selections at Salisbury where the going is on the fast side of good for a change, and the first of those, Glory of Paris was an excellent second on his previous try here despite finding 6f too sharp, and he’s caught the eye twice since, meeting lots of trouble behind Surrey Hope at Sandown and given too much to do at Kempton next time. He needs to be forgiven a poor run at Newbury since, but he’s gone there twice and run stinkers both times, so it’s easy enough to suggest that Newbury is just not his track. His best form gives him fair claims here, and while it could be argued that he has stamina to prove at a mile, that is more than factored into generous odds of 33/1.

Moonshine Dancer runs in an uncompetitive handicap at 4.50, in which the favourites are a maiden and a horse beaten off similar marks on his last 4 races. The selection was below form on her first couple of starts for Christian Williams, but ran well at Sandown last time, and would have been a fair bit closer but for meeting trouble in running. The handicapper has been kind, and the filly’s owners aren’t the sorts to mess around looking for a betting coup, and will want her to deliver sooner rather than later. Her maiden win has worked out well enough to suggest she is leniently weighted on a mark of 64.

Regards,

Rory

 

 

Thursday - Day 4

 

6.45 Chep – 1pt win Taws @ 17/2 (Bet365, BetVictor) - Won +8.5

Total staked 1pt


Rain again rather spoils today’s cards, but the weather in this part of the world has stabilised, and as long as the going isn’t very soft, then I’m more than prepared to give Taws another go after her fine fourth in the Goodwood Stakes, when we backed her each-way. She’s up against Project Bluebook here, and the favourite is respected, but the disparity in price between the pair is simply wrong. Taws has thrived since returning to Rod Millman from David Pipe, and probably found the softening ground against her last time, albeit running with great credit. She won’t want a dawdling pace back at two miles, but looks much more likely to win that quotes of up to 9/1 suggest.

 

 

Friday - Day 5

 

3.00 Nott – 1.5pts win Maid In India @ 3/1 (Bet365, SkyBet, BetVictor) - Lost

5.50 Newm – 1pt win Russian Soul @ 10/1 (general) - Lost

Total staked 2.5pts

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Main bet today is Maid In India, who is in a competitive race, but Eric Alston’s filly has looked potentially pattern class in winning both starts despite clear signs of inexperience – the fact she won on debut for a yard which doesn’t get its runners wound up suggested she might be special, and while she looked all out to win at Doncaster last time, she moved into the lead with great ease, and simply didn’t know what to do when coming under pressure for the first time. That smooth-travelling performance suggested to me that she could be capable of gaining black type, and yet she is able to race off a mark of just 71 here, which looks far too low.

Russian Soul was a confident bet for us at Newcastle earlier in the year,only for the tactics to be changed inexplicably. He made amends when returned to turf at Chester, and had excuses last time when making one of his slower exits. He needs a well-run race given his running style, and while arguably better over 7f, will get the race run to suit at Newmarket with plenty of pace in opposition. The biggest thing in his favour is the recent upturn in fortunes for the Jamie Osborne yard, and this classy gelding shouldn’t be a double-figure price.

 

Saturday - Day 6

 

Take BOG if possible

2.10 Newm – 2pts win Dark Power @ 9/4 (general) - Lost

2.40 Ripon – 1pt e/w Bossipop@ 8/1 (general -¼ 1,2,3,4) - Lost

3.15 Ripon – 1pt e/w Robero@ 11/1 (SkyBet, Hills – 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6) - Lost

3.35 Newb – 1pt win Massaat @ 12/1 (general) - Won +12

6.00 Mark – 1pt win Cottonwool Baby @ 14/1 (Paddy Power,Betfair) - Lost

Total staked 8pts

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RIPON

2:40 WILLIAM HILL SILVER TROPHY HANDICAP (6F)

Many will be looking for draw clues here in relation to the Great St Wilfrid itself, but any analysis is complicated by the make-up of the field, and the first impression gleaned is that the far side runners are largely devoid of early pace, which suggests the speed will be concentrated in the centre of the track; whether those who blaze the trail will seek to move to the far rail or stay in the middle is unclear, but it’s dangerous to expect both sprint handicaps to unfold in the same fashion.

In an open race for the consolation, Bossipop is put forward as the pick, arriving as he does in a rich vein of form, and with his middle draw potentially advantageous. Tim Easterby’s gelding is something of a course specialist despite just the one win here, his overall record at Yorkshire’s “garden track” reading 21222. His win at Ripon came on heavy ground, but he’s shown similar form on good, and is effective on all but the quickest turf. His most recent second to the in-foal Avon Breeze came from an identical mark to the one he runs off here, and from the same draw, to boot. It’s very hard to see him out of the frame, despite the big field.

3:15 WILLIAM HILL GREAT ST WILFRID HANDICAP (6F)

With Kachy an absentee, the low numbers could be vulnerable without an obvious pacemaker to chase, but Pipers Note is tactically versatile, and ought to go well from stall 3, with his excellent course record to bear in mind. He’s also racing off a lower mark than when making the frame in competitive events at Ascot on his last two starts, and merits plenty of respect on that basis. He’s tempting, but marginal preference is for the progressive Robero , who hasn’t been seen since a decent fifth in the Bunbury Cup. Of the first six home at Newmarket, only Robero, from stall 3 was drawn low, and he can be rated as better than the bare result, with the seven-furlong trip arguably stretching him at this level. Back to six furlongs now, and with the speed to take a favourable track position from his middle draw, he looks more likely to get things run to suit than a few of his main rivals. Prior to the Bunbury Cup, he’d posted a sparkling time for the conditions when beating nine rivals at Pontefract, several of whom have won competitive handicaps since. That suggests that Mick Easterby’s charge remains on a workable handicap mark, and he’s expected to make a bold bid from the front.

NEWBURY

2:25 BETFRED GEOFFREY FREER STAKES (1M5F61Y)

Frontiersman is clearly the one to beat on ratings here, but he’s unproven at the trip, and has looked less than willing to engage in battle on his last two starts, getting excused on the first occasion in the Coronation Cup when the track was deemed to blame for his waywardness, but blotting his copybook in no uncertain terms when hanging away from his main rival in the Princess of Wales’s Stakes at Newmarket last time. This is easier on paper, but the Godolphin horse is best treated with caution after his latest display, and clear preference is for Defoe , who has won all three starts this season, starting off with the fiercely competitive London Gold Cup at this venue. He has since shown improvement to win in contrasting conditions at York, and marked himself down as a possible St Leger candidate by taking the Glasgow Stakes at Hamilton. There have been murmurs in some quarters that Roger Varian’s yard is out of form, but these seem to be emanating from those with a purely binary mentality when it comes to such things. In the last ten days, Varian has sent out thirty consecutive losers, but a closer look shows that a third of those runners have finished second, and there is evidently nothing wrong with the yard’s inmates that a bit of luck won’t quickly cure.

3:35 BETFRED HUNGERFORD STAKES (7F)

Owen Burrows has been downbeat about the chances of Massaat in the Hungerford, pointing out that last year’s 2000 Guineas runner-up doesn’t do much at home and will improve for the outing. That’s as may be, but this is the same Massaat who won on debut as a juvenile, and split Galileo Gold and Ribchester in the Guineas despite the lack of a previous run, and while he disappointed subsequently, the Newmarket form makes him a clear pick against rivals who fall short of the top echelon. Breton Rock is a most likeable performer, but will do well to carry a penalty for his shock win in the Lennox Stakes, which owed much to him having room to open up against opponents who seemed more determined to get in each others’ way. I’m tempted to give Sir Dancealot another chance given he was beaten before the race started at Goodwood, but the argument for him was predicated on handicapping and the nature of big-field contests, so this may not be the best opportunity to recoup losses.

NEWMARKET

2:10 RANDOX HEALTH GREY HORSE HANDICAP (6F)

The Grey Horse Handicap is viewed as a novelty, and it probably does the job of getting a few more bums on seats, but its marketing niche doesn’t preculde it from providing a good betting opportunity, and it does that in the shape of the rapidly improving Dark Power, who impressed with the manner of his victory over several in-form opponents at Leicester last weekend. Clive Cox’s colt wasn’t ideally suited by the soft early pace, needing to be ridden along before most of his rivals, but he picked up in willing style, and was always holding the late challengers despite the margins being quite small. He has a big weight with a penalty to carry here, but looks destined for better company, and can defy his impost.

MARKET RASEN:

6:00 Jane Clugston Challenge Cup Novices’ Handicap Chase

The market leaders are unconvincing in this contest, so a chance is taken on ex-pointer Cottonwool Baby now switched to fences. She’s pulled up no trees over hurdles, but has shown ability, and the handicapper has dropped her to a tempting mark of 90 after a decidedly quiet run at Southwell last time. She will be more competitive here in all probability, and 14/1 underestimates her chance.


 

Sunday - Day 7

 

Take BOG if possible

3.10 Sout – 1pt win Voix D’Eau @ 9/1 (general) - Lost

4.15 Sout – 1pt win Beautiful People @ 12/1 (general) - Lost

4.50 Sout – 0.5pts e/w Bygones For Coins @ 33/1 (general) - Lost

Total staked 3pts


 

Live Trial Summary

Total number of tips: 15

Total points profit: +2

Total profit to £10 stake: +£20

Total Profit to £50 stake: +£100

Return on investment: +13.33%


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