21/03/2018 Results

Tipsters Review - 21-Mar-2018

Horse Racing Tips

Today's Horse Racing Tips 

 

Todays Racing Tip - INTRANSIGENT
Time & Track - 7.45 KEMPTON (WED)
Best Odds - 16-1

Analysis - A class 4 0-85 7F h'cap where to be honest there are plenty in with a chance including one of our old favs from earlier in the season Outer Space.You couldn't discount SPare Parts as he's 3lb lower today than last time, Shyron ran home fast and late last time over CD and wouldn't have needed much more to have got there but he really does require the luck with his run style. The one I went with just looks very good ew value at his price. He doesn't win as often as his ability would suggest but with 8/71 career wins and 5/35 on the AW. He is a CD winner off 90 in Jan 2017, runs here off 85 with a 5lb claimer taking 5 more off. He ran in teh Spare Parts/Shyron race over Cd last time out finishing 9th beaten 3L and he's 3lb & 4lb better off with them here with first time visor on replacing the hood he's wore on odd occassions.

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - NAGS WAG
Time & Track - 8.45 KEMPTON (WED)
Best Odds - 16-1

Analysis - A class 6 0-60 6F h'cap that the betting 4-1 the field would suggest is wide open. Now as I'm writing this later than usual I am aware our runner has been very well supported to as low as 5-1 in places. She's the winner of 7/33 career races with 4/17 on the AW including 2 over Cd off 67-70 today runs off just 54. Her last 3 wins have all been in sellers and she has been mainly campaigning over 5F of late but she did run 2nd 2 races ago at Lingfield with Joe Fanning riding that day, he again takes the ride today. Her career form here at Kempton over 6F reads 1-1-7-2. The 7th was in Feb 2017 in class 5 of a career hi mark now 20lb lower. If back to form here she'll take some beating in this class plus she has a decent enough draw in 3 but her hold up style will mean she needs a little luck to get the run at the right time with 12 runners thats never guarantee.

Result -  Non Runner

Todays Racing Tip - WE'LL BE THERE
Time & Track - 2.20 CHEPSTOW (WED)
Best Odds - 12-1

Analysis - A near enough 3m h'cap hurdle class 5 0-100 where the one I like we've done before, she's run over 3m, here at Chepstow and heavy ground before but never all together. For me on her last few runs she's looked in need of this kind of trip and now after a 5lb drop by the h'capper plus wind surgery since her last run she looks to have been found the right grade trip track ground combination. Seeing Courtinthemiddle down to run just brings back happy memories of his 40-1 win for us at Kempton nearly 12 months ago but that was over 2m5 on good ground so don't think conditions will suit on first run for 340days.

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - TOP CAT HENRY
Time & Track - 4.20 HAYDOCK (WED)
Best Odds - 20-1

Analysis - I've done him again here as he was a NR for us yesterday, not sure of reason why but I'm happy to do him here in this veterans chase, on the run at Kelso in class 2 2 runs ago he'd have a definite ew chance here.

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - WENCELAUS
Time & Track - 4.30 CHEPSTOW (WED)
Best Odds - 40-1

Analysis - Occassionally I like to take a bit of a punt on one that up to now hasn't shown very much over the years we've had some cracking winners from this type. We have another one here in Wenceslaus who so far has had 9 runs and managed a 3rd. He comes here on the back of a couple of 6th place finishes over 2m on soft ground. Of those 9 runs he's run over 2m4 just once and that run would appear to be his best run todate finishing 4th beaten 34L by a 132 rated Henderson runner, with the 3rd horse winning 3 since and finished 3rd in a Grade 2 hurdle last time now rated 141. He was only 14L adrift of that runner that day and comes here now off 104 having come down 10lb since his initial mark. The obvious question mark is the ground as he's never raced on anything worse than soft but at 40-1 it's worth taking that chance.

Result - Lost

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