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Gary Priestley results : October 8th



Today's horse racing tips - Results

Todays Racing Tip - ORIENTAL FOX
Time & Track - 4.10 NEWMARKET
Best Odds - 16-1 5 PLACES
Analysis - Long term followers will know 3 years ago I tipped this one to win the trial over CD 3 weeks before the big one itself and to get on him for the race itself at 40-1 ante-post. He went off at just 8-1 having won the trial by 3L at 12-1, unfortunately J.Murtagh didn't give him a great ride and he finished 6th of 33. He didn't run in the race in 2014 but came here again last year off 106 after running 2nd in France in Group Company, he did everything right but get the nod in the photo finish with Grumeti. He hasn't won since running away with the Queen Alexandra at Royal ascot in 2015 but as a result he's been dropped a few lbs from 109 to 103 which is 1lb below the mark he was 6th off 3 years ago and 3lb below last years short head 2nd. This season he ran well for 4th at Royal Ascot and was a good 6th in the York Ebor but I feel another run here has been the long term target and those valuable few lbs he's been dropped will make the difference this time around, 3rd time lucky I hope.

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - SUZI'S CONNOISSEUR
Time & Track - 3.45 YORK
Best Odds - 33-1
Analysis - He's won 4 of his 34 career races but hasn't won since winning a 7F h'cap on heavy ground at Leicester in October 2014. Of those 34 races 17 of them have had 16 or more runners as he's a regular in all the seasons big 6F & 7F h'caps run at Goodwood, Royal Ascot, York & Newmarket. He was 11th of 27 in this years Stewards Cup beaten 4 1/2L by Dancing Star and last season was 12th of 25 in the Wokingham and 7th of 27 in the Stewards Cup. He ran last week in Librisa Breeze race at Ascot over 7F on soft he finished 15th unable to get a clear run up the stands rail his jockey gave up 1F out but was only beaten 5L he's been dropped 2lb for that run and is now on a mark of 99 the same as when 17th in this race last year as a 12-1 shot. That was a poor effort but he was in stall 18 and the winner was drawn in 1, this year he has 5 which for the way York has run all season would appear to be a good draw. He does look like the type to need it all drop in his favour but then what sprinter doesn't. The interesting one that could be worth a saver on is George Bowen who was sent off 4-1F last year off a mark of 100 as a 3yo, he could only manage 6th but today comes here off just 92 and drawn in 19 could be worth covering the high draw just in case.

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - CAVALIERI
Time & Track - 5.40 NEWCASTLE
Best Odds -
Analysis - I was confident he'd run well the other day as a 33-1 shot at Catterick, whilst he didn't get placed he was staying on 5th beaten 8L, he now runs on the AW at Newcastle which is supposed to be pretty similar to the tapeta track at Wolverhampton where he has some decent form. In fact in 7 runs on the AW so far he's got 1 win 2 2nds 2 3rds and 2 4ths with no bad runs amongst them and when running over 2m at just Wolverhampton his form reads 1-3-4. He's won off marks of 67 & 57 today runs off 62 in the same grade as his last AW run when 4th as 6-4F 0-65 Class 6, he showed the other day he's still running well and could well improve for switch back to the tapeta surface.

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - MORNING TIME
Time & Track - 4.05 HEXHAM
Best Odds -
Analysis - He's a 6 times career winner including 4 here at Hexham. He's only won one chase race and thta came over CD off a mark of 95 in June 2014 and that was his last win. He's been kept to hurdling for the last 12months(7races) when last seen over fences he was beaten 13L off a mark of 90 now racing off a 14lb lower mark with first time visor over a CD he loves on ground that is ideal all adds up to a big run. Despite his advancing years(10) he still been running well and wasn't disgraced last time when beaten only 10L. His chase career here at Hexham over 2m reads 3-1-2-4

Result - Lost

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