Clarence House Chase
This race was already exciting with the recent Grade 1 Tingle Creek’s winner Defi Du Seuil and runner up Un De Sceaux who was beaten by just a neck in the thrilling finish at Sandown line back up for a rematch, but now throw in the possibility of 10 time Grade 1 winning superstar Altior in to the mix whose recently controversially scratching from Kempton’s Silviniaco Conti race this weekend means he’s a big possibility to line up in this years Clarence House Chase leaving it looking a scintillating epic encounter.
If last seasons Clarence House winner Altior does line up then he’ll certainly be slashed into a short priced favourite very quickly and be the one they all have to beat. Until his recent defeat Altior racked up 19 straight victories over both hurdles and fences and was unbeaten in over 4 years. His latest defeat brings no shame as not only beaten by BHA’s top rated Cyrname, but also significantly over his longest trip to date. Yet to face anything over 2m1f’s against Grade 1 company he faced a 2m5f’s trip on gruelling ground on his first start of the season, while he certainly ran with plenty of credit and looked to stay the distance, it’s arguably not his forte and stepping back down to just over 2 miles looks the correct decision not just for optimum conditions, but also a much easier looking division.
As mentioned Tingle Creeks winner Defi Du Seuil added his first senior chase Grade 1 to his previous 5 Grade 1 trophies when beating Un De Sceaux last month, he’s the youngest in the field and has a very bright future, while he obviously handles this sharp trip, I’m sure his optimum distance is two and a half miles and the Ryanair will be his main target especially if Altior does show his force of old, however if Altior does scratch this race too then DDS will be the one many, including the bookies feel they all have to beat, but he’ll certainly want all the rain forecast for the coming week, if we do have a dry windy week and there’s some kind of good in the going description then over this sharp trip I think he’ll find it very tough.
3 time winner (2 Ascot / 1 Cheltenham) of this race Un De Sceaux is now 12 but is still in prime condition, he was unlucky not to add to his 10 Grade 1 victories LTO when beaten by a race fit DDS by a neck, I think with a race under UDS belt that day then the outcome would of been different, also while UDS is a natural on testing ground he’s just as good on a faster surface and would suit UDS more than it would DDS over this sharp trip.
Altior’s stablemate Janika was soundly beaten by both DDS & UDS in the Tingle Creek and will struggle to turn that form around especially if the predicted ground dries. Capeland looks a top end handicapper and will be suited back in that company, likewise Marracudja who recently improved bundles but this a clear step too far.
Final Betting Predictions : I think Altior will take part in this race and if you are looking for a bet, horse racing betting with 888 would be wise where his current odds of 4/1 is appealing if you want to take the risk as he’ll be close to odds on before the off and the likely winner, also the 4/1 for the Champion Chase at Cheltenham won’t be around for long.
Defi Du Seuil if beaten will surely go up in distance and his 14/1 on the exchanges for the Ryanair is surely there to be taken advantage of with many horse racing tipsters already advising this bet.
And if Altior doesn’t take part in this race then Un De Sceaux will be the one to beat especially if the ground dries which I know is a strange statement to make regarding his form on heavy ground and is currently over 2/1 on the exchanges.