Four Eight-Year-Olds Looking to Continue Recent Grand National Trend

Tipsters Review - 27-Mar-2019

 

Four Eight-Year-Olds Looking to Continue Recent Grand National Trend


 

"Aintree: Home of the Grand National" by Rept0n1x (CC BY-SA 3.0)

The Grand National used to be a race where punters were wise to avoid younger horses, but three of the last four winners have been eight-year-olds.

Trends come and go, yet this is one stat which could be well worth paying attention to when it comes to the world's most famous steeplechase at Aintree.

Here are four eight-year-olds that are looking to continue this recent Grand National trend and see the winner in 2019 produced from that age bracket once again.

Bristol De Mai

Carrying top weight in this mother of all staying handicap chases is a daunting challenge. That's the one facing Bristol De Mai and history is against him. It hasn't stopped experts at Betting.Betfair putting him forward among Aintree tips for this year's race, though at 25/1.

Red Rum was the last horse who managed to win the Grand National under top weight in 1974 - 45 years ago. Bristol De Mai, who carries the two-tone green colours of Simon Munir and Isaac Souede, loves racing on Merseyside, much like that legendary horse.

Trained by dual Grand National winner Nigel Twiston-Davies, this grey gelding is best known as a Haydock specialist after winning consecutive renewals of the Betfair Chase. If he can take to Aintree in a similar fashion, then Bristol De Mai has every chance on the pick of his form and his recent third place in the Cheltenham Gold Cup.

Dounikos

Gordon Elliott has trained two winners of the Grand National too, including Tiger Roll 12 months ago. He also has plenty of eight-year-old horses he could send over from Ireland and shortlisting them is tough with many also having the alternative target of the Irish Grand National at Fairyhouse.

Dounikos could go there or come to Aintree, but wherever he lines up he has claims after winning Ireland's official Grand National Trial at Punchestown last time out. This run finally showed he could put everything together over fences and he's unexposed as a stayer.

Major Irish owners Gigginstown House Stud have a final recent record in the Aintree showpiece, winning two of the last three runnings. Dounikos looks each-way value at 33/1 with Betfair to enhance that further for connections, and he's a horse to follow this spring.

Jury Duty

Another inmate of Elliott's County Meath yard is Jury Duty. He is 5lb well-in at Aintree compared to his handicap mark in Ireland, so it would make sense for him to run there rather than in the Irish National.Jury Duty is already a Grand National winner of sorts. He made a successful transatlantic trip two starts ago to Fair Hills on the edge of New York, where he won the American Grand National over hurdles. Although that race is quite short of the challenge presented by the Aintree fences, he has also followed-up after a winter break.Elliott put

Jury Duty back over the larger obstacles in a staying chase at Down Royal, where he led home a stable 1-2-3. He is another 25/1 chance for the English Grand National off the back of that comfortable winning return to fences.

Ms Parfois

Proven stamina is an essential attribute of all Grand National winners. Anthony Honeyball-trained mare Ms Parfois has it in spades, evidenced after twice finishing second over four miles or further in the last 12 months.

She has more scope for improvement than narrow 2018 National Hunt Chase conqueror Rathvinden, who is three years older than her and should take her on again here. When on-song, Ms Parfois jumps as well as any gelding and is in the Grand National off a low weight.

There is nothing not to like about her profile for Aintree. It would be no surprise to see Ms Parfois buck the trend of no mare winning the Grand National since 1951 and she is 20/1 with Betfair for it after warming up nicely in the Midlands National at Uttoxeter.

 


Share

Tipster Search

Tipster Search