Jibber Jabber 7 day live trial : Horse Racing Tipster
Service type: Horse Racing Tipster
Trial type: 7 day live trial
Week Starting: 3rd December
Cost: £32.99 Per month
Service Offers: N/A
4.45 Wolverhampton Kaser 0.25pts Each Way at 10/1 - Won +3
The ex-Godolphin trained 3 year old gelding Kaser who cost 500,000 Euros as a yearling but was picked up in October for just £15,000 by
current trainer David Loughnane looks worth chancing in this at 10/1 with his best RPR of 77 having come at the track. As you can expect,
with that initial price tag he is well bred, has a good draw in stall 2, and P J McDonald is an eye-catching first-time booking. There
is a slight risk as you are betting on potential but he has shown ability in 3 starts, could be suited by the step up to a new trip,
and having been dropped 5lb since receiving his initial handicap mark back in June he looks well worth chancing small stakes each way
at the price.
The first one I have for you is a risky 25/1 shot so feel free to adjust your stakes accordingly but remember I also wouldn’t be tipping her up unless I thought she could win! The lightly-raced winner and 3 year old filly Hit The Beat returns to the C&D of her only win to date from a short 5 run career. The hope is she is now fully fit on her third start of the season after having excuses in her last 2 runs (Class 4/not fit, doesn’t stay 6f). She has been dropped 8lb down the weights for her last 2 runs, she is also eased in grade today down from a 0-75 to a 0-70, has excellent apprentice Amelia Glass (Season: 5-25, 20%) taking a very useful further 7lb off her back and , from a decent draw in stall 5, with the Clive Cox yard going through a particularly good spell (Last 14 days: 4-20, 20%) she looks worth an each way interest. Please don’t expect too much at the price but in what looks a very open/winnable affair I think she looks the stand out bet.
The lightly-raced 5 year old gelding Demon Fou didn’t go unbacked when stepping up in trip to 2m3f for the first time opening at 80/1 before going off at 40/1 and causing an upset to beat a decent Paul Nicholl’s trained 11/8 Favourite who has franked the form since by finishing a close up 2nd of 8 next time out. That was only Demon Fou’s third start and he travelled well throughout, though looked out-paced at times, before running on very strongly in the last furlong to win a bit cosily and give the impression that today’s extra furlong will be very much in his favour (suits on pedigree). He ran to an RPR of 104 that day so getting in here on his handicap debut off a mark of 106 looks ok and may just under-estimate him based on what I witnessed in his last run. I considered Napping this one but do think that Todd is a danger stepping down in grade (0-120 down to a 0-105 today) but I feel that the selection has more scope for improvement so hope I have chosen the right one. He looked the one to be on at the prices when I weighed everything up and it won’t hurt that the Jeremy Scott yard is going through a particularly good spell at present (Last 14 days: 4-16, 25%).
The Richard Hannon trained 3 year old gelding Zalshah looks over-priced in this at 20/1 having ran well here on all 3 visits to the track and having gone close over C&D off this mark 4 runs back when he finished a close up 1.25L 2nd of 9 in a slightly higher grade than this evening (0-85 as opposed to 0-80 today). He could go close on that evidence alone, from a good draw in stall 7, but what has really caught my eye is the first-time booking of excellent apprentice Thore Hammer Hansen who is good value for his claim and takes a very useful further 7lb off his back. He is back on his last winning mark and with the Richard Hannon yard having had 2 winners from their last 5 runners he looks worth an each way interest at a generous looking 20/1.
Zenith One is a lightly-raced 3 year old gelding who ran much better on seasonal debut here a fortnight ago, coming back from a 259 day break, than his finishing position of 11th of 14 would suggest. I have watched the race back 3 times and he has caught the eye finishing best of the whole field. He started very slowly literally walking out of the stalls in last place, losing several lengths, and was never put in to the race proper. However, he can be seen doing very good late work running on best of all strongly through the line with a lot left in the tank over 1m2f suggesting that tonight’s step up an extra 2 furlongs in trip will be very much in his favour. This suits on pedigree with his Dam being a 1m4f winner. He is also entitled to come on for the run after such a long break, and well drawn in stall 5, if breaking on terms, with the experienced Tom Queally (who rides the track well 48-394, 12% SR) taking over in the saddle for the first-time, it would be no surprise to me to see him heavily involved at the business end. Small stakes only advised because we are betting on potential rather than proven form but I really like the look/chances of this one.
12.50 Haydock Newtide (NAP) 1pt Win Bet at 2/1 with 888SPORT but generally available at 15/8
This is the one which is going up on OLBG and Twitter as my Nap and he seems to have a lot going for him stepping up significantly in trip to 2m7f after being bought for 100,000 Euros when he finished 2nd in a decent 3 mile PTP at Punchestown in April last year. He shaped like a stayer and caught the eye making late progress from about 3 furlongs out over 2m3.5f at Chepstow 2 weeks ago and with that run under his belt and the extra 3.5 furlongs today looking very much in his favour he should prove difficult to beat. He is entitled to strip fitter for that pipe-opener, Jonathan Burke is a decent first-time booking and the Kim Bailey yard remains in good form (Last 14 days: 3-17, 18%). My guess and the hope is that he this 5 year old will win this today before moving on to much better things as a staying chaser.
The 3 year old filly Angelina D’Or has always been consistent with form figures in her 12 run career of 423213623393 with the 6th coming when she was hampered at the start and the 9th when she was in need of the run after a 96 day break. She was purchased for 20,000 GNS back in July and moved to the in form Jane Chapple-Hyam yard (with her horses in the past fortnight showing form figures of 301424) then she ran very well from a poor draw in stall 4 over 1m2f at Newcastle 15 days ago where she could be seen being a little out-paced about 3 furlongs out before sticking to the task well running on late again to finish 3rd of 12. Her best results have come on Polytrack with a win at Lingfield and a close up 1 length 3rd of 14 here so the return to that surface should be very much in her favour as should the step up to 1m3f for the first time with her shaping like she needs that distance already and there being 2 mile flat form in her pedigree. My overall feeling is that there will be more to come from this 3 year old stepping up in trip, back on Polytrack, on only her third start for her in form yard. She has a poor draw in stall 11 to overcome but being a hold up horse that shouldn’t affect her too much so I’ll be surprised if she finishes out of the first 3 and it would be nice if she could give us a decent priced winner.
The 3 year old colt Casa Comiga has been dropped 13lb for 3 runs since receiving his initial handicap mark back in August and he was supported in to 6/1 and in the process of putting in a better performance last time when stopped in his run approaching the furlong marker. He has been dropped another 3lb for that and is starting to look well handicapped. His best run has come here with an RPR of 63 and he runs off 55 tonight and, from a decent draw in stall 7, with Kieran Fox taking over in the saddle for the first time, I can see him going close at a generous looking 11/1.
5.15 Wolverhampton Winkleman (nb) 0.5pts Each Way at 9/1
Formerly officially rated 101 the case is fairly easy to make for Winkleman who runs off a 36lb lower mark in this (65), has William Cox taking a further useful 3lb off, he is well drawn in stall 1, and he drops in to a Class 6 for the first time. His only win to date came around this trip on debut in Italy in March 15 and having been contested over what is probably a too short 6f-7f in his last 10 races he looks to have a decent shout in this stepped back up to a mile. At least, the strong early market support for him would suggest his connections expect a big run.
I also tried to tip you Tomkevi each way at 9/1 in the 1.10 at Wetherby but by the time I was about to hit “publish” his price had already
been obliterated in to 7/1 so I left it.
12.15 Huntington San Pedro De Senam (nb) 0.5pts Each Way at 16/1
San Pedro De Senam, who was progressing nicely around this time last year before being in poor form earlier this year, put in an improved
performance coming back from a 188 day break to finish an eased down 21 lengths 3rd to 2 decent sorts over 2m1.5f at Fontwell on today’s
Good to Soft 3 weeks ago. The winner of the race has franked the form by finishing a close up 2nd of 9 off a 7lb higher mark in a much
better higher grade race since. He has dropped 24lb down the weights since November 2017 to 16lb below his last winning mark and has
apprentice, Niall Houlihan, taking a further 10lbs off his back. He looks over-priced, well handicapped, and interesting at 16/1 dropping
down in Class today with nothing of the quality he faced last time among his rivals today. He steps up to 2m4.5f today which I’m guessing
is near the maximum distance he would want but there is 2m4f winning hurdle/chase form in his pedigree and I think he will get the
trip having ran over 2m3.5f before and with today’s ground not being overly stamina sapping. He has a best RPR 8lb higher than any
of his opposition having achieved an RPR of 124 twice around the turn of the year and, entitled to strip fitter for his seasonal debut,
if he could get back to anywhere near that he will win this doing handstands.
Total number of tips: 9
Total points profit: +9.6
Total profit to £10 sake: +£96
Total Profit to £50 stake:+£480
Return on investment: 160%