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Todays Racing Tip – LUCKY DI (NAP)
Time & Track – 2.30 BRIGHTON (MON)
Best Odds – 11-1
Analysis – I napped him last time out at Goodwood in a much better race than this 0-60 class 6 selling h’cap. He’s a 6 times winner of marks of 68-69-65-67-68 the other was his maiden win over 7F. That all makes todays mark of just 52 look very appealing in a very low grade race the obvious unknowns though are the number of 3yos in the race with no form anyone could be on a lurking h’cap mark.
Result – Lost
Todays Racing Tip – THEOS LOLLY
Time & Track – 3.10 RIPON (MON)
Best Odds – 11-1
Analysis – A 1m4 class 4 0-80 h’cap on good ground, this 4 times winner(1 AW 3 turf) has also been runner up 5 times but those wins have come off marks of 70-75-73 plus a maiden win. Now running of 78 here less his jockeys 7lb claim after 2 5th placed finishes off 80. He did however run 2nd off 79 over 10F at Chester in good company and his wins off 75 & 73 were both over CD in fact in 3 runs his course form reads 3-1-1. For me that makes 11-1 loo exceedingly good value.
Result – Lost
Todays Racing Tip – SHACKLED N DRAWN
Time & Track – 3.20 WINDSOR (MON)
Best Odds – 33-1
Analysis – A 3 times winner twice as a 2yo on the AW one in a maiden the other in a h’cap off 70. He then won as a 4yo on turf at Nottingham on good/firm off 75. He’s now had 3 runs back after 6 months off so should now be cherry ripe back down to 70 on forecast good/firm ground over the trip of all 3 wins 5F, all adds up to 33-1 looking overpriced. He wasn’t an initial form pick but I had him 12-1 in my market so 33-1 looks way overpriced.
Result – Lost
Todays Racing Tip – OLIVIA FALLOW
Time & Track – 3.40 RIPON (MON)
Best Odds – 14-1
Analysis – A 3 times winner all over 5F including her maiden win which was over CD. The 2 h’cap wins have come off 75 & 80 so now down to 77 after some mid field finishes in some good races including Epsoms dash behind Caspian Prince when beaten only 4L. That level of form would give her a leading chance here now 8lb below that run where she was hampered against the rail when making a good looking run.I must say I’ve struggled with Midgeley sprinters this summer only being on Related when he won at Nottingham having missed desert Law & Tyler Wonder the days they won, hopefully get some of that back here.
Result – Lost