12/04/2019 Results

Todays Racing Tip - THEATRE LEGEND
Time & Track - 2.20 Ayr (12/04)
Best Odds - 5/1 @ Bet365

Stake - 1pt win

Analysis - This six-year old has improved on each of his three hurdling outings so far, after a couple of third placed efforts in novice company he won under hands and heels on handicap debut at Wetherby when dropped to the bare minimum for the first time. The handicapper has hit him with a 12lb rise but he looks a progressive type and there could be plenty more improvement to come with him still very unexposed. He hurdled quickly that day and that course is very similar in layout to Ayr which will help.

Result - Won +5

Todays Racing Tip - THEO
Time & Track - 3.25 Ayr (12/04)
Best Odds - 9/1 @ Betfair

Stake - 1pt win

Analysis - This gelding has seldom ran a bad race since moving to Dr Richard Newland’s yard from Ireland and has accumulated a 50% strike-rate (7/14) for these connections and comes here holding every chance of adding to that. The nine-year old ran a good race in the Old Roan over this trip when fifth behind Frodon and is off a pound lower mark here. He returned from a short break with a half-length defeat at Doncaster before finishing sixth in the Grand Annual at this year’s festival (both over 2m when staying on well) and the step back up to 2m4f will suit. Sam Twiston-Davies is back in the saddle and he’s only been beaten once on this horse in six outings whilst his trainer is 3/9 here and this is his only runner on the card.

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - BEAT LE BON
Time & Track - 3.40 Newbury (12/04)
Best Odds - 13/2 @ William Hill

Stake - 1pt win

Analysis - Some useful two-year old form from last season when beaten a head over C&D on debut and he then was only beaten three-quarters a length in second in a big-field listed event at Redcar when staying on well at the finish over six-furlongs. He was beaten by the re-opposing Happy Power before his winter break but there’s every chance of reversing that form on 9lb better terms for a three-length defeat and Richard Hannon’s colt has the added advantage of a recent run (nine-length win in three-runner novice) which would’ve blown away any cobwebs. Soft ground is an unknown but the yard has won two of the last three runnings of this and I think he goes there with every chance.

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - RAVENHILL ROAD
Time & Track - 4.00 Ayr (12/04)
Best Odds - 5/2 @ Bet365

Stake - 1pt win

Analysis - Went close on first two chase outings and the form of both of those has been advertised well since and he can be forgiven his latest third (beaten 14-lengths) in a Grade 2 with the front two very useful (Dynamite Dollars & Ballyward). He’s on a fair opening handicap mark for what he’s achieved so far, is the most unexposed in the field and he’s had his wind done since his last run.

Result - Lost

April Monthly Total:  -13.45pts