14/01/2020 Results

Todays Racing Tip - HAWTHORN COTTAGE
Time & Track - 3.50 Doncaster (14/01)
Best Odds - 16/1 @ Bet365 (3 places)

Stake - 0.5pt ew

Analysis - This seven-year old won a decent bumper at Cheltenham back in April after going close twice before and though she was not involved on her next couple of starts they both came in graded bumpers at Aintree & Punchestown. She has been making small progress in her three starts over hurdles, the latest when a fair third at Wetherby on Boxing Day and on her penultimate start she ran in a listed event at Kempton and though finishing last of the six runners they were all rated between 134-140. This opening handicap mark of 108 looks generous based on her previous assignments, Lucy Barry takes off 5lb with her claim and her trainer Amy Murphy has a 45% strike-rate at this course (5/11), she looks a big price if putting her best foot forward. Going with the three places but if you shop around there is four.

Result - Won +10

January Monthly Total:  24.60pts