12/08/2017 Results

Tipsters Review - 14-Aug-2017


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Todays Racing Tip - NINJAGO
Time & Track - 2.40 REDCAR (SAT)
Best Odds - 10-1

Analysis - Was a difficult choice between our last time out selection who was a little disappointing Ninjago and Duke Cosimo who we've done several times recently but was very poor last time out at Pontefract and as the ground is forecast good/soft the nod has to go with Ninjago. Duke Cosimo ran really well 2 races back on good/firm so we have to assume the ground is the important factor so I'm prepared to give Ninjago another chance but then I got it wrong today with Relight my fire/Ralphy Boy so tides of fortune are changing. 

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - FIELDSMAN (NAP)
Time & Track - 3.15 REDCAR (SAT)
Best Odds - 12-1

Analysis - A 3 times winner all over 7F the last off 87 so todays mark of 77 is a career low mark. He ran at Ascot behind Cricklewood Green and at York last time out behind Lexington Times he's 5lb and 3lb below those marks now so must have an excellent chance of win no.4.

Result - Placed

Todays Racing Tip - INTENSE STYLE
Time & Track - 3.50 REDCAR (SAT)
Best Odds - 16-1

Analysis - A 3 times winner 2 on turf on soft & heavy and a 1 time AW winner, all 3 wins over 6f. He has tried 1m earlier in his career inc a 2nd of 100 at naas on softish ground. He hasn't run over 1m since but has run over 7F inc a 2nd at Doncaster recently off 85 today 82. His last win was June 2016 where he won off 88 so now 6lb lower provided he gets the trip ok then 16-1 looks over priced as he's down in grade and first time visor.

Result - Lost

 

Todays Racing Tip - CONSULTING
Time & Track - 7.40 LINGFIELD (SAT)
Best Odds - 9-1

Analysis - We did this one last time out at Newmarket when a 33-1 shot he only finished 3rd that day but only 7 ran so no good to us. He wasn't beaten very far then and that was a big step forward so hopefully he can build on that here.

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - SUZIS CONNOISSEUR
Time & Track - 4.15 NEWMARKET (SAT)
Best Odds - 25-1

Analysis - Was a winner for us on the AW back in Feb when beating the very in form Holiday Magic. That win was off 95 today only 91 after 3 runs in very competitve h'caps, in fact since Aug 2013 he hasn't run in a field with less than 10 runners the last time he did he won a 9 runner race, thats 35 races. In those 6 races with 9 or less runners he's won 3 50% S/R all adds up to 25-1 being too big a price.

Result - Placed

Todays Racing Tip - TOOFI
Time & Track - 4.35 HAYDOCK (SAT)
Best Odds - 12-1 B365

Analysis - Toofi who in his time has been a very good h'cap sprinter running in planty of the big races but he has become slightly disappointing, I am prepared to give him another chance as he did run a very good race over CD 3 races ago off 89 behind Handsome Dude, now off 86 with first time cheek pieces to help him concentrate.

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - IMPERIAL LEGEND
Time & Track - 5.05 HAYDOCK (SAT)
Best Odds - 33-1 B365

Analysis - We did him last time out at Thirsk when 8th of 9 over 5F on good/soft ground, he carried 10st that day off a mark of 65 today he's off 62 which is 9lb below his last winning mark.If he could return to anything like his old formthen he would have a massive chance here and at 33-1 thats worth taking a chance on. He has won on good/soft in the past even though its not his preferred surface but with the additional 3lb allowance of Rachael Richardson he could out run those long odds.

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - ARGAKI
Time & Track - 5.50 AYR (SAT)
Best Odds - 25-1

Analysis - Thats a big over price for me as he was a well suported runner on Monday evening at Carlisle in their ladies only riders races but unfortunately unseated todays rider on the way to the start. He ran around loose for 10 mins before being WD he went into the notebook on his previous run over CD when 4th to stablemate Crazy Tornado.

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - RESTORER
Time & Track - 2.30 HAYDOCK (SAT)
Best Odds - 40-1

Analysis - Not my usual type of race as this isn't a h'cap but Restorer who we did at Royal Ascot where he ran well to be 7th having been hampered several times in the straight. He was very disappointing the other day in a listed race at Newbury but they led with him that day which didn't suit him. In this race he's not suit by the ratings as he's the lowest rated at 100 with top rated 114 but he has been rated 106 in the past and is a dual soft ground winner whereas several of the fancied runners are yet to win on slower ground. like Spark Plug who is a 5 times winner 3 on good and 2 on good/firm yet his 5 runs on soft ground all beaten. Aotocratic top rated 114 3 wins 2 G/F 1 good yet 3 runs on good/soft well beaten. The unbeaten fav Laarib 3 runs 3 wins 2 G/F 1 good never run on a softer surface so an unknown. With the front 3 not suited by underfoot conditions it does make you think a strange result is possible and although Restorer on ratings has a lot to find with some of them the ground is a leveller and I think he'll run better than his 40-1 outsider of field price would suggest.

Result - Lost

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