18/09/2017 Results

Tipsters Review - 18-Sep-2017


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Todays Racing Tip - SOMETHING LUCKY (NAP)
Time & Track - 5.15 BRIGHTON (MON)
Best Odds - 18-1

Analysis - Probably the most frustrating horse on my watch list, he's morethan capable of winning a race like this off this very low mark. He's won 4 times but only 1 since coming over from France that was C5 off 75 at Wolverhampton, now 19lb below that mark he's very well treated but time after time finds trouble in running or slowly away,there's always an excuse. Now on ground track trip that should suit in the right grade in a small field with a decent jockey and first time cheek pieces I really hope he's allowed to run a race to see what he's capable of. I really believe if allowed to run on his merits he'll win this race easily!!

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - REFLATION
Time & Track - 1.45 CARLISLE (MON)
Best Odds - 12-1

Analysis - A Class 6 0-65 apprentice riders race over 6F where we have 2 we've done before in Sir Domino & Reflation. Both ran at Hamilton last time out and both ran well. Reflation was a 66-1 chance in a 7 runner race and finished a close 3rd running on well late on. He's a few lbs wrong in the h'cap here but has a 3lb claimer on but he's run on heavy ground twice winning both one off 63 the other off 58 here he runs off 51. I will be gutted if Sir Domino wins here but on known form I do prefer Reflation's chances.

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - GOD WILLING
Time & Track - 4.25 CARLISLE (MON)
Best Odds - 7-1

Analysis - We've done him last twice when a very good 2nd at 20-1 at Thirsk and then last time out at York when a close up 5th in a big field. This smaller field may help him dictate the pace which he likes to do but struggled to lead last time.

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - HOLLY BUSH HENRY
Time & Track - 4.35 WORCETSER (MON)
Best Odds - 25-1

Analysis - A very good 0-130 h'cap hurdle where the one I like the look of is yet to race over this kind of trip. He's won 5 times a NH Flat, 3 hurdles and a chase on good once and 4 times on soft.He was rated 142 when 29L behind Altior at the 2016 Cheltenham festival. He has gone backwards since those days and only tried 2m4 last time out at Southwell now stepping up to 2m7 its a bit of a risk he'll like this trip but he does have first time blinkers on and Jamie Moore riding which for me is an interesting booking.

Result - Won

Todays Racing Tip - TOBOGGANS FIRE
Time & Track - 5.25 CARLISLE (MON)
Best Odds - 12-1

Analysis - A class 5 0-75 1m1f h'cap on heavy ground at Carlisle a very stiff track. The selection has got top weight but has won 4/20 so far and the 4yo comes here after running in Class 3 last time out over this trip at Hamilton. Those 4 wins have been on AW twice at Wolves plus 1 on soft and 1 on heavy. He's run 3 times on heavy so far a win in class 5 then 7th C3 & 2nd C4. He ran well here 2 runs back over 1m on good/soft off 79 in class 4 to be 4th beaten 4L. Last time he was beaten 17L but in class 3 he now gets a 3lb drop and 2 grades drop so better is now expected.

Result - Lost

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