21/06/2017 Results

Tipsters Review - 21-Jun-2017


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Todays Racing Tip - ZHUI FENG
Time & Track - 5.00 ROYAL ASCOT (WED)
Best Odds - 33/1 6 places PaddyPower

Analysis - Ran a cracker for us last time out when only just collared having tried to make all in the when 3rd of 24 in the Victoria Cup behind Fastnet Tempest who went on to win again next time. He also ran well when 3L 8th to Bravery in the Lincoln and 7L behind Banksea in the Newbury Spring Mile. The better the ground the better his chances so not too much watering and plenty of sunshine needed. Stall 26 is good as middle isn't great plenty of winners have come from hi draw.

Result - Won

Todays Racing Tip - TISBUTADREAM (NAP)
Time & Track - 5.35 ROYAL ASCOT (WED)
Best Odds - 25/1 5 Places PaddyPower

Analysis - A 3yo h'cap yes not my usual type of race but at RA I like to have a go at these big field h'caps and having had a good look through most recent runs I feel that the selection Tisbutadream looks to still be a few lbs ahead of the h'capper based on her last run at Epsom in Group 3 company. She's a CD winner on good/firm ground making all the running and battling on well once challenged something she'd done on her previous wins as well. All 4 career wins have been over 1mile, that win 2 runs back was off 86 11lb below todays mark but on her last run at Epsom she ran 3rd beaten 5L by a 110 rated horse who is 11/4fav for Wednesdays Group 2 Duke Of Cambridge. She went into the race rated 93 and in receipt of 12lbs from the winner might not look that impressive but the runner up rated 105(giving 12lb) and the 6th rated 107 & 7th 104(levels). That shows she ran to a much higher mark than the 97 she's got here. That CD win the horse who finished last beaten 34L has gone on to win last time out plus the 2nd and 3rd home went on to be 2nd and 4th in a Class 1 listed race next time. The form looks rock solid all round and as a bold front runner stall 2 against the rail is ideal if that proves to be the quicker strip. The other major bonus is she has the most in form jockey riding her in SDS.One last interesting point is this is a 0-110 h'cap where the top weight is rated only 104 thats very unusual for a big meeting like this.

Result - Lost

Todays Racing Tip - CLIFF
Time & Track - 6.50 RIPON (WED)
Best Odds - 11/1

Analysis - Usually runs over further than this but at Pontefract on his last run he ran far far better than his finishing position would suggest. He was detached in last until running on up the home straight under todays very inexperienced jockey but she rode him well despite finding plenty of trouble in running up the straight. Provided this straight 6F isn't an inconvenience he's sure to run well and I thought 10-1 was way overpriced in a race of this quality.

Result - Won

Todays Racing Tip - THE FIRM
Time & Track - 9.10 CHELMSFORD (WED)
Best Odds - 33/1

Analysis - He was a NR for us last week so one the record of previous NRs then winning when they do run I have to do him again. He's a couple of lbs below the recent 8th of 9 at 66-1 over CD when beaten 6L he was less encouraging last time out but that was at Wolverhampton over 8.5F this track and trip should suit him better plus this is class 6 so he must have an outside ew chance.

Result - Lost

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