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08/11/2017 Results

Tipsters Review - November 8, 2017

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Time & Track – 12.55 CHEPSTOW (WED)
Best Odds – 33-1

Analysis – Class 5 0-100 where the joint top weight is a very short priced 6/4. He’s won 3 of his last 4 races off 82-89-92 all over shorter than todays 3miles. Interestingly off just 82 after the first win he was beaten by 10L into 3rd placed when trying this trip now off a 20lb higher mark he looks very vulnerable. The one I quite like is the bottom one off just 79, he’s a 7 times winner though not won for just over 2 years when he won twice in 3 runs over this trip at Uttoxeter off 95 then 102. Using Eddy as a gauge BS lost to Eddy by 18L but gave him 12lbs, MR the fav beat Eddy by 1L getting 3lbs and now MR has to give BS 17lbs so by my reckoning that makes BS about 1L behind MR if they run true to that form.Taking that into account 6/4 or 33/1 BS has to be the value baring in mind MR didn’t stay the trip 3 runs ago.

Result – Lost

Todays Racing Tip – GREEN DOOR
Time & Track – 2.15 NOTTINGHAM (WED)
Best Odds – 11-1

Analysis – When Gracious John won at Leicester we were on him that day just 1L behind and running on well was Green Door. With jockey allowances he’s not weighted to reverse that form but given a more positive ride he can get his revenge. Its a 0-110 class 2 only in name as the top weight is rated 100 so off 96 he’s set to carry 9st2 so Jonathan Fisher claiming 7 rides him for Robert Cowell. He has ridden 6 winners from 51 rides in his career with 5/29 in 2017.

Result – Placed

Todays Racing Tip – SAKHEES JEM
Time & Track – 8.10 KEMPTON (WED)
Best Odds – 20-1

Analysis – The race looks tailor made for Binky Blue but I’ve given him enough chances though I’m sure he’s another that will win the day they want him to. The selection Sakhees Jem I didn’t put up last night as she was only 12-1 but with 2 Nrs and now 20-1 she does look worth an ew play. She’s only won once a 6f maiden at Yarmouth on good/firm. She was given a mark of 71 on the back of that but struggled. She has run twice here at kempton both over this CD the first she was in class 5 at 66-1 finished 12L 7th of 11 off 67. Then next time up she ran 3rd of 13 beaten 1L off 65 in class 6. Today is again class 6 off just 52 and with Josephine Gordon on who rode her when 3rd recently at Chelmsford. In a field where only 1 runner hit the first 3 last time out she can’t be discountedand 20-1 looks a decent ew bet. Yu do need to forgive her last run at yarmouth when very poor beaten 10L but besides the win at 8-1 in a 5 horse race she has never run that well at yarmouth.

Result – Lost

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