Aintree Grand National live trials special : Tipsters Empire & JPW Racing Tipster

Tipsters Revew - 10-Apr-2017

On Live trial this week:

Aintree grand national special

Service type: Aintree Grand National Festival
Trial type: 3 tipsters 3 days
Week Starting: 6th Aptil 2017
Website: www.tipstersempire.com
Cost: N/A
Service Offers: 1 month for £1

Trial Info: It is Aintree Grand National week and we have teamed up with Tipsters Empire and JPW Racing Tipster to cover the three days of the meeting. Across the course of the three days we will have 3 horse racing tipsters providing us with the tips. On day one we will have racing tips from The Snout, day 2 will be from JPW Racing Tipster and day 3 will be covered by The Tower from Tipsters Empire. All of their racing tips will be sent out via email and posted online the evening before the days racing. All of the racing tipsters will provide full write ups behind each selection and offer an advised stake.

Monday - Day 1

Today's racing tips are:

Tuesday - Day 2

Today's racing tips are:

Wednesday - Day 3

Today's Racing tips are:

 


 

Thursday - Day 4

Today's Racing Tips are:

2.50 Aintree - EMPIRE OF DIRT
Listeners to the podcasts or who tuned into our Cheltenham preview evening will have no doubt seen that I just could not have Cue Card at any price, and although I think he probably will like the return to a flatter track here I can’t see why he would be this price.
EMPIRE OF DIRT ran poorly in the Ryanair but the race just didn’t suit him; although he didn’t travel as well as hoped he just couldn’t get involved until late on, and I think he is better than that. His trainer liked him for the Gold Cup prior to the week so it was clearly the owners that made him go that way, so the step back up to 3m1f is a big plus. He was 2nd to Gold Cup winner Sizing John in the Irish Gold Cup with a less than ideal trip round, and surely if Cue Card doesn’t suddenly come back to his form when winning this race last year, then he should be the one to collect. On paper Conti could have a chance back here but he won’t have his own way in front and with that being the case I just can’t have him. Tea For Two is the best of the rest.
1pt win 5-2 Generally.

 

3.25 Aintree - RASHAAN
Genuinely I make this a 12/1 shot at best so the 33/1 available during the time of write up just looks massive. He is a very, very good horse on his day and should not be underestimated. He beat Apples Jade and Petit Mouchior with loads in hand in November - the other two were not at their best but it was still a fairly taking performance. He won nicely at Dundalk before heading to Gowran Park where he finished a few lengths behind Tombstone and Jezki in heavy ground. Now those 2 disappointed at Cheltenham but they were extremely well backed and just didn’t perform (Tombstone at one point was just a few points bigger than Buveur D’Air for the Champion Hurdle). But, RASHAAN would have not ran to his best that day as he hates heavy ground. He will love it back on this surface, and I have a suspicion that connections have been waiting to step him up in trip to 2m4f as looking at the way he runs his races it should really suit him. Look, Buveur D’Air should win with his head in his chest and he has a right to as the Champion Hurdler but this is no Annie Power and the rest of the field are, quite simply, rubbish. RASHAAN is not out of the question here.
0.5pt ew 33-1 Generally. 2 places paid at 1/4 odds.

 

4.05 Aintree - BALNASLOW
On The Fringe could take all the beating here but I am supremely interesting in BALNASLOW. This horse hit 1.5 in the Foxhunters at Cheltenham when blundering at the last and ended up being beaten 3L into 5th. I am not sure the horse stayed, so a drop down in trip to 2m5f and on a flatter track - this horse is going to go out in front and he could be tough to pass. He made a few sneaky mistakes around Cheltenham but the National fences just might bring that little bit more concentration out of him. He has one of the best amateurs in the game on him (although I am still not sure how he didn’t get Pendra home…) and we are certain to get a fantastic run for our money here out in front and he just might be difficult to pass.
0.5pt ew 10-1 Generally. Use a firm that pays 4 places (Bet365).

 

4.40 Aintree - ASTRE DE LA COUR & DOUBLE W'S
I really fancy this one here from a smaller yard meaning automatically the price tends to be bigger. This horse has only had 3 chase starts, but has impressed in each one. He won easily first time up at Taunton before finishing 2nd to Baby King at Wincanton in heavy ground. Last time out he was narrowly beaten by Gardefort, who finished 2nd in the Grand Annual and therefore there is a big weight swing in our favour. They were miles clear of the rest that day and it looks like strong form. ASTRE DE LA COUR won the conditional jockeys handicap at the Aintree meeting in 2015, so clearly can go at the track. He is well treated of 137 and at the bottom of the handicap will be a big player. Paul Townend has ridden once for the yard and that was a winner.
DOUBLE W'S is a horse that I have always rated and I think he travelled supremely well last time out at Cheltenham, but he just didn't get home over 2m4f. He was in front turning in and just got outstayed, and completely shaped like a 2miler. He looks the perfect type to win this.
ASTRA DE LA COUR 1pt win 7-1 Generally.
DOUBLE W'S 1pt win 7-1 Generally.

 

Good Luck.
The Snout.

Friday - Day 5

Today's racing tips are:

We will start tomorrow off with a Lucky 15:

2:20 MOON RACER
2:50 WHISPER
3:25 SUB LIEUTENANT
4:40 WEST APPROACH
TOTAL BET OF 1.5 POINTS

If you are using £10 per point you would place a £1 Lucky 15, £20 per point you would place a £2 Lucky 15 and so on.

AINTREE DAY 2

1:40 Alder Hey Children's Charity Handicap Hurdle
The handicaps at Aintree are a bit different from Cheltenham and most of the time I look for horses who have specifically stayed away from a handicap at Cheltenham in order to come to Aintree. In other words they have been kept fresh for Aintree.

We have 2 selections in this race.

The Paul Nicholls trained ZUBAYR has always been highly praised by connections throughout his career and has probably under performed. I have no doubt he has the ability and is now on a handicap mark of 140. I think that is a winnable mark especially on good ground. He finished way down the field in the Betfair Hurdle but the ground was really bad that day and it wouldn't have played to his strengths. On his penultimate start he ran a good race behind Brain Power to finish 5th again on ground on the softish side. Paul Nicholls has given him a full 2 months off the track and trained him for this race. He will come into the race 100% spot on and I am happy to play at huge odds of 20/1. E/W.

ZUBAYR 20/1 with Sky Bet (PAYING 6 PLACES) - 0.5 POINTS E/W

Our 2nd selection is CLONDAW KAEMPFER who won this very race in 2014 on a mark of 137. He turns up today on a handicap mark of 131 so is 6lb better off 3 years later. Again ground is the key to this horse and the good ground will play to his strengths. He showed back in January that he still retains his old ability when winning a handicap at Musselburgh. He then turned up at the same course a month later and I think the 3m 2f trip was his undoing. Another horse who has been kept fresh for this and skipped Cheltenham in order to go for this race. He is trained to the minute to perform and with his previous course form he is surely overpriced at 22/1. E/W.

CLONDAW KAEMPFER 22/1 with SkyBet (PAYING 6 PLACES) - 0.5 POINTS E/W

2:20 Crabbie's Top Novices Hurdle

My NAP of Cheltenham the week before it all got underway was MOON RACER in the Supreme Novice Hurdle. I was annoyed to see him go for the Champion Hurdle especially given the fact Labaik won the Supreme as I have no doubt he would've had the beating of that horse.
MOON RACER was pulled up in the Champion Hurdle 3 hurdles out. That could be a blessing in disguise as he didn't have a hard race. Ironically it should put him spot on for today rather than coming into the race overcooked. I have never hidden the fact of how highly regarded I hold this horse and I really think he could be top class. This race is not half as hot as the Supreme and going into that race he was available at 9/2. This makes the odds of 4/1 look big especially with only 9 runners. WIN.

MOON RACER 4/1 with William Hill - 1.5 POINTS WIN

2:50 Betway Mildmay Novices Chase

A two horse race between RSA Chase winner Might Bite and the 2nd WHISPER. I am going to stick with WHISPER who we were on at Cheltenham because at odds of 11/4 I think he is a fantastic bet.
Might Bite may have beat him at Cheltenham but he practically stopped to a standstill and although it was impressive how he got back up to beat WHISPER, I just wonder how much that has taken out of Might Bite. It is not easy to stop and start running up a hill you are already half way up. He would've used every bit of muscle you can think of to get back up and I just wonder if it has left his mark. You are also talking about a very quirky horse and you don't know what horse will turn up.
Now on to WHISPER who did nothing wrong in defeat by the tiniest of margins at Cheltenham. This season he is 2 wins over fences and a 2nd but Aintree has always been his course. He always seems to turn up at Aintree and simply loves the course. On his last 2 visits to Aintree he has won the Grade 1 Stayers Hurdle beating the likes of Cole Harden and Zarkandar. If he is going to beat Might Bite it is going to be at Aintree. WIN.

WHISPER 11/4 generally - 1.5 POINTS WIN

3:25 JLT Melling Chase

We have 2 selections in this race.

Fox Norton and God's Own head the market but the horse to take from Cheltenham is SUB LIEUTENANT. He finished 2nd to Un Des Sceaux in the Ryanair Chase and to me that is a much better performance than Fox Norton 2nd to Special Tiara. SUB LIEUTENANT form in his last 4 races is very easy on the eye. It all started when he beat Outlander on good ground at Down Royal in November, over the same trip as today. He then finished 2nd to Djakadam at Punchestown in ground not ideal but only beaten 2 lengths. His next start 2nd to Sizing John again in ground not ideal but beaten only 2 lengths. His final start 2nd to Un Des Sceaux beaten 1 1/2 lengths. This is top class form behind the best horses National Hunt has to offer. I think he should be favourite and I personally make him as short as 7/4. The ground is in his favour, the trip will be fine and I am confident he can win. WIN.

SUB LIEUTENANT 10/3 with Paddy Power - 1.5 POINTS WIN

I don't think we saw the best of UXIZANDRE at Cheltenham and I put that down to something we call the bounce factor in the horse racing world.
You have one run after coming back from injury and a lot of the time the horse under performs on his 2nd start. I don't think he had a hard race at Cheltenham and that could be valuable in todays race. He was simply left to come home in his own time. Barry Geraghty is back on board who has been in great form at Aintree today. I expect he will be ridden very aggressively as he was at Cheltenham back in 2015 when winning the Ryanair. Todays trip is 1 furlong shorter so they should be even more aggressive. I think UXIZANDRE has it in him to win this especially on proper spring Good Ground. At odds of 8/1 he is simply overpriced. E/W.

UXIZANDRE 8/1with Bet 365 (1/4 ODDS) - 0.5 POINTS E/W

4:05 Randox Heath Topham Handicap Chase

We have 3 selections in this race.

I have spotted something here which has made my ears prick and it is a decision which would only be made if the horse is ready to win and you want to give it the best possible chance.
The horse in question is HENRYVILLE. The normal rider of HENRYVILLE is Noel Fehily, yet he does not have a ride in the race. Fehily has rode the horse 16 times so the only reason I can think of is owners and trainer wanted the best jockey over the National fences on board and that is Leighton Aspell.
Aspell won the 2014 Grand National on Pineau De Re and also 2015 National winner on Many Clouds. He is simply electric over the fences and knows the best position to have your horse. For me this alone is a massive clue because who takes Noel Fehily off a horse unless you mean business?
HENRYVILLE is also very well handicapped and is now rated 140 by the handicapper. Only this time last year he was rated 148 and was finishing just behind the likes of Zabana, Outlander and Sub Lieutenant at Punchestown over 3m 1f. Leighton Aspell will carry a weight of 10st 9lb which is a lovely weight. We also know he will stay a bit further than todays trip which will again play to his strengths and he loves the fences after finishing 3rd in Grand Sefton back in December. A very solid bet for me. E/W.

HENRYVILLE 12/1 with Sky Bet (PAYING 6 PLACES) - 0.75 POINTS E/W

IRISH CAVALIER is an interesting entry in this race as this horse has the class to go for the Grand National. I know he has to carry 11st 11lb but as I said in yesterdays Grand National write up I think the classier type of horses have a better chance these days. IRISH CAVALIER will be ridden by Paul Townend who I rate highly. This is a horse who ran in the Cheltenham Gold Cup, won the Charlie Hall Chase back in October and has also run in the Betfair Chase this season.
Last year IRISH CAVALIER was a winner at Punchestown rated 153 so is only 3lb higher on a mark of 156. The key to this horse is the ground, the sounder the better. He is also a very good jumper and I think he will have no problem jumping the bigger obstacles. Again we know he stays further which will come into play in the closing stages. Surely overpriced at 25/1. E/W.

IRISH CAVALIER 25/1 with Sky Bet (PAYING 6 PLACES) - 0.5 POINTS E/W

I really think KATACHENKO has been trained for this race since winning at Aintree last season. He beat Dandridge last season in the Grade 3 Red Rum Handicap Chase and was rated 133. Today the horse is rated 131 so is actually 2lb lower.
KATACHENKO has been campaigned around this race this season in my opinion. He started over 2miles and was slowly stepped up in trip on his next 3 starts. He finished 2nd over 3m 1f in February which confirms he will get todays trip. He then run at the Cheltenham Festival and I thought ran a decent enough race to finish 10th of 24 over 2m 5f. All races point towards a training exercise with todays race in mind. KATACHENKO is a very good jumper and I think the fences could make him come alive. He clearly loves Aintree and is owned by Trevor Hemmings who loves a winner over the National fences. Will Kennedy takes the ride and will be riding off 10st which is absolutely tiny. E/W.

KATACHENKO 28/1 with Sky Bet (PAYING 6 PLACES) - 0.5 POINTS E/W

4:40 Doom Bar Sefton Novices Hurdle

We have 2 selections in this race.

WEST APPROACH must have a huge chance now back in Novice company. This horse has been running against the likes of Unowhatimeanharry and run in the Stayers Hurdle at Cheltenham last time out instead of the Albert Bartlett which tells you what they think of the horse. WEST APPROACH is a half brother to Thistlecrack who made his name at Aintree in this very race in 2015. I wonder if this race has always been the aim considering Thistlecrack has won 2 races at Aintree so breeding tells you he should like it around here. He also didn't have a hard race at Cheltenham as he was pulled up which again could be useful with the energy which would've been saved. Value bet in the race at odds of 11/2. WIN.

WEST APPROACH 11/2 with Betfair - 1.5 POINTS WIN

I have had my eye on DEBECE for this for a while. I think he is a horse going in the right direction and is a half brother to Don Poli. The fact he was kept away from Cheltenham with this race in mind could be the difference. Tim Vaughan has never kept it a secret what he thinks of this horse and he showed everyone what he is capable of when winning his last race at Newbury by a huge 19 lengths, never coming off the bridle. This is a step up in class but for me he finally seemed to get the hang of things last time out and I am sure he has plenty to come. DEBECE is overpriced at 20/1. E/W.

DEBECE 18/1 with Betfair - 0.5 POINTS E/W

5:15 Weatherbys National Hunt Flat Race

NO BET

TOTAL OUTLAY 15 POINTS
 

Saturday - Day 6

Today's racing tips are:

 

 

1.45 Gaskells Handicap Hurdle

NO HASSLE HOFF looks a worthy favourite here judged on his novice form and you can draw any amount of confidence from his previous runs, given what those around him have come out and done since. The most solid piece of form looks to be his last run in February where he chased home The Worlds End at Haydock, and the latter went in yesterday off a mark 15lbs higher than NO HASSLE HOFF starts handicap life in here. On his previous start, he was only just touched off by Constantine Bay (now rated 142) - so this mark of 134 is potentially very lenient for Dan Skelton's unexposed five-year-old. If he runs up to his promising novice form, it's very difficult to see him being out of the frame and I like his profile coming here a fresh horse without the Cheltenham hangover.

SELECTION: NO HASSLE HOFF

Stake: 1pt each way @ 5/1 (various)

2.25 Betway Mersey Novices Hurdle

I'm a huge fan of LE BREUIL. This is a potential superstar waiting to happen and I'm very surprised we're getting such a price about a horse who has tasted defeat just once in four starts. He made his comeback at Newbury last month on ground much softer than he'd have liked and duly laughed at a decent yardstick in the shape of 128-rated Benatar. Trainer Ben Pauling was crystal clear that anything he did that day was a bonus and he would come on leaps and bounds for the run, so we could be in for something special here. He is undoubtedly a longer term prospect for the stable but, on the basis of what we've seen thus far, he is too exciting to ignore - even now.

SELECTION: LE BREUIL

Stake: 0.5pts each way @ 13/2 (Coral)

3.00 Doom Bar Maghull Novices Chase

Charbel deserves to get his head in front following two brave efforts to down Altior, but this could be the time for POLITOLOGUE to shine. He is certainly the value bet in this field, back on a flatter track and dropped in trip. At times in the early part of the season, he looked like a Festival winner all over. But things didn't quite happen for him when it came to the big day and, despite travelling well into the race, he got found out coming up the hill. He'll be far more at home here and his sound jumping should have the rest of these tested from a long way out. Given Charbel's proximity to Altior in the form book, he is probably a worthy favourite, but he looks far too short to me and I'm happy to oppose with the Nicholls runner at the far bigger price.

SELECTION: POLITOLOGUE

Stake: 1pt win @ 11/2 (Paddy Power, Betfair)

3.40 Betway Handicap Chase

There was a lot to like about STARCHITECT and the eyecatching run he put in at Cheltenham in a better contest than this. He got stopped a few times in his tracks that day and, granted an easier passage, he surely would have got a lot closer than his sixth placed finish. The feeling in the build up to the Festival was that David Pipe had a very well handicapped horse on his hands and he could make it count here. He was staying on powerfully over 2m5f that day so the step up in trip here looks an ideal choice and the track should also suit. He ticks a lot of boxes and as long as he's over that Cheltenham run, it will take a good one to beat him here.

SELECTION: STARCHITECT

Stake: 0.5pts each way @ 7/1 (William Hill)

4.20 Ryanair Stayers Liverpool Hurdle

I give one last chance to AUX PTITS SOINS - a horse of huge potential and, but for injuries, could have been a huge player in his career. He won the World Hurdle at the 2015 Festival and attempted to come back off a 12 month absence and serve it up to Thistlecrack, of all horses, last year. And for a long way, he put up a brave fight before tiring. Connections then went over fences and it simply didn't happen, so it's interesting to see the move back over timber. His one run so far was solid if unspectacular in finishing behind Zarkandar in the Rendlesham, but there is plenty in the tank if this horse wants to give it and he looks vastly overlooked at quotes of 20/1 against horses who, in the main, could be running on empty here after long campaigns.

 

SELECTION: AUX PTITS SOINS

Stake: 0.5pts each way @ 20/1 (BetVictor, Paddy Power)

5.15 Grand National

The vibes in the North have been strong for ONE FOR ARTHUR this winter and Lucinda Russell looks to be coming here with a very live chance. This fast improving eight year-old showed he knew what it was all about when finishing a staying on fifth in the Beecher and, either side of that, he recorded impressive wins to advertise his rude health. He comes in with a lovely racing weight and a much underrated jockey in the shape of Derek Fox. In short, the horse ticks a lot of boxes and that is what you want on Grand National day. All you can ask for then is a bit of luck. He is still a horse of potential rather than proven ability at the very top level, but the way he won the Betfred Classic at Warwick - a Grade 3 - last time out suggests he is a horse we want to be with.

Another Northern chance comes in the form of James Moffatt's HIGHLAND LODGE. The Cumbrian-based trainer has primed this 11-year-old for a huge tilt at this race - so much so that we last saw him when running a stormer in the Beecher in December. He would have won that day but for idling in front and that represents rock solid form. If he improves at all for that then he ought to be bang there and the fact that he won the Beecher in 2015 only increases confidence that he loves these fences. If you're looking for a horse to give you a run for your money at a price, he looks to be the boy.

SELECTION: ONE FOR ARTHUR

Stake: 0.5pts each way @ 16/1 (various)

SELECTION: HIGHLAND LODGE

Stake: 0.5pt each way @ 28/1 (various)


 


 

Sunday - Day 7

Today's Racing tips are:

 

 

Live Trial Summary

Total number of tips: 

Total points profit: 

Total profit to £10 stake: 

Total Profit to £50 stake: 

Return on investment:


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